Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 19, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/19/2026, 01:20 AM ET
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The Chicago Sky visit the Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia, on Sunday, July 19, 2026. The game is scheduled to begin at 4:00 p.m. ET, with CBS and Paramount+ providing the coverage. Atlanta enters as a 10.5-point favorite with a -600 moneyline, while Chicago is available at +440 on the moneyline and +10.5 against the spread. The total is set at 177.5 points, with -110 odds on both the over and under. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.

Chicago Brings Improved Recent Form to Atlanta

The Sky enter Sunday with a 9-16 overall record and a 4-9 record away from home. Chicago has won three of its last five games, including recent victories of 96-82 over Los Angeles, 95-90 over Seattle, and 77-66 over Phoenix. The Sky recently lost 96-91 to Dallas and 102-87 to Los Angeles. Chicago has scored at least 87 points in four consecutive games, winning two of those contests.

Chicago averages 87.1 points per game while allowing 89.4 points. The Sky shoot 44% from the field and average 33.5 rebounds, 21.1 assists, five blocks, and 6.8 steals per game. Chicago averages 2.1 fewer points than Atlanta while allowing 4.4 more. However, the Sky hold advantages in assists and blocks, including 2.3 more blocks per contest.

Chicago’s primary strength is its ability to block shots. The Sky’s average of five blocks is significantly higher than Atlanta’s 2.7. Their recent scoring has also been encouraging, as Chicago has produced 369 points across its last four games. The concern is a defense allowing 89.4 points per game, particularly against an Atlanta team that has exceeded 100 points in each of its last two victories.

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Atlanta Looks to Strengthen Its Home Record

The Dream enter the matchup with a 15-10 overall record and an 8-4 record at Gateway Center. Atlanta has won three of its last five games, recently defeating Toronto 111-92, Los Angeles 101-92, and Seattle 89-78. The Dream’s two losses during the stretch were a 102-92 result against Portland and an 88-83 defeat against Golden State. Atlanta has scored at least 89 points in four consecutive games.

Atlanta averages 89.2 points per game while allowing 85 points. The Dream shoot 44% from the field and average 34.4 rebounds, 20.2 assists, 2.7 blocks, and 9.6 steals per contest. Atlanta holds advantages in scoring, scoring defense, rebounds, and steals. Both teams own the same field-goal percentage, while Chicago produces more assists and blocks.

Atlanta’s biggest advantage is its ability to generate steals while limiting opposing scoring. The Dream average 2.8 more steals than Chicago and allow 4.4 fewer points per game. Atlanta has also held two of its last five opponents below 80 points. Its offense has been productive recently, scoring 212 total points across its last two victories and reaching at least 89 points in four straight games.

Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction

Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Dream -10.5

I am taking Atlanta to cover the 10.5-point spread. The Dream own the better overall and home records while holding clear advantages in scoring defense, rebounds, and steals. Atlanta is 15-10 overall and 8-4 at home, compared with Chicago’s 9-16 overall record and 4-9 road mark. The Dream have also scored more than 100 points in each of their last two wins. Chicago has won three of five and has scored well recently, but its 89.4 points allowed per game presents a difficult challenge against Atlanta’s current offensive production.

Chicago Sky vs Atlanta Dream Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 177.5

I am backing the over 177.5 because both teams have shown consistent recent scoring. Chicago has scored at least 87 points in four consecutive games, while Atlanta has reached at least 89 in four straight. Four of Chicago’s last five contests finished above the posted total, including combined scores of 178, 185, 187, and 189 points. Four of Atlanta’s last five games also exceeded 177.5. The teams combine to average 176.3 points, and their recent results provide enough additional support for the scoring to clear Sunday’s number.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 98 – Chicago Sky 87

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