Chicago Sky vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 25 2026

The Chicago Sky travel to Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, to face the Connecticut Sun on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET with coverage available on WNBA League Pass and NBC Sports Boston. Chicago enters the matchup at 15-23 overall and 5-13 on the road, while Connecticut is 9-27 overall and 6-12 at home. The Sky are 3-2 over their last five games, while the Sun have dropped four of their last five. Chicago is currently a 5.5-point favorite, with the total set at 169.5. The Sky are priced at -198 on the moneyline, while Connecticut is +164. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks throughout the season for more basketball betting predictions and analysis.

Sky Look to Rebound After Defensive Collapse

Chicago comes into this matchup with a 15-23 record after suffering a 113-90 loss in its most recent game. That defeat snapped a three-game winning streak that included victories by scores of 73-70, 93-86 and 82-80. The Sky have therefore been playing better than their overall record might suggest, although their 5-13 road mark remains an obvious concern.

Chicago averages 87.4 points per game while allowing 89.9 points, producing one of the higher-scoring profiles in this matchup. The Sky shoot 44% from the field while averaging 33.4 rebounds, 21.5 assists, 4.6 blocks and 7.2 steals per game. Their offensive production is clearly stronger than Connecticut's, but Chicago's defense has struggled to consistently protect leads or keep games under control.

The Sky also hold the season-series edge at 2-1. Chicago won 85-80 in the first meeting and 94-88 in the third, while Connecticut took the middle matchup 92-63. That split shows that the Sun are capable of causing problems for Chicago, but the Sky have generally been the more productive offensive team.

Sun Searching for Answers

Connecticut enters at just 9-27 overall and has lost two straight games. The Sun were beaten 77-68 in their latest outing after falling 101-78 in the previous game. Their only win over the last five came by an 85-77 score, and Connecticut has been held under 80 points in four of those five contests.

The Sun average 79.0 points per game while allowing 87.0, a differential that explains much of their poor record. Connecticut shoots 43% from the floor and averages 32.7 rebounds, 19.0 assists, 4.7 blocks and 8.3 steals. The Sun do have a defensive activity edge in steals, but Chicago has the advantage in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounding and assists.

Connecticut's injury situation also creates uncertainty. The Sun will be without several contributors, while another is listed as a game-time decision. That matters against a Chicago team that already has the stronger offensive profile and has shown the ability to score into the 90s when it gets comfortable offensively.

Chicago Sky vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction

Pick: Chicago Sky -5.5

Chicago has the better record, has won three of its last four, and owns significant offensive advantages over Connecticut. The Sky average more than eight additional points per game and also hold edges in field-goal percentage, assists and rebounding. Connecticut's 6-12 home record does little to offset those differences, and the Sun have lost four of their last five overall. Chicago's defensive inconsistency prevents this from being an easy play, but laying 5.5 points with the Sky is the stronger side.

Pick: Under 169.5

Chicago games can get loose because of the Sky's defensive issues, but Connecticut's offensive limitations create a strong case for the Under. The Sun average only 79.0 points per game and have scored 78 or fewer in four of their last five. Chicago has also recently shown that it can win lower-scoring games, including victories of 73-70 and 82-80. At 169.5, the number provides enough room for Chicago to control the matchup without requiring Connecticut to contribute heavily to the scoring.