Chicago Sky vs Dallas Wings Picks and Prediction for Sunday July 12, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Chicago Sky and Dallas Wings meet on Sunday, July 12, 2026, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on ESPN and Disney+. Chicago enters the matchup with a 7-15 overall record and a 4-8 mark away from home, while Dallas is 15-8 overall and 6-3 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Wings a 70.2% chance of winning, compared with 29.8% for the Sky. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
Chicago Hopes Its Offense Can Produce on the Road
Chicago comes into Sunday’s game with a 7-15 overall record and a 4-8 road mark. The Sky have gone 2-3 over their last five games. They recently lost to Los Angeles 102-87 after earning a 77-66 road win over Phoenix. Before those results, Chicago lost 98-90 in overtime at Las Vegas and fell 107-99 at home against the same opponent. The Sky’s other victory during this stretch was a convincing 124-94 win over Portland.
The Sky average 86.2 points per game while allowing 89.4 points. Chicago shoots 43% from the field and averages 33.5 rebounds, 20.8 assists, 5.3 blocks, and 6.8 steals per contest. The Sky’s scoring average is 3.2 points lower than their points-against average, which has contributed to their losing record. Chicago has also been less efficient offensively than Dallas, trailing the Wings by three percentage points in field-goal shooting.
Chicago’s clearest statistical strength is its ability to block shots. The Sky average 5.3 blocks per game, compared with only 3.4 for Dallas. That advantage gives Chicago an area in which it can potentially disrupt the Wings and prevent some scoring opportunities. The larger concern is defensive consistency. Chicago has allowed at least 98 points in four of its last five games, including 102 or more in three of those contests. The Sky also enter the matchup with several players listed as out, increasing the importance of getting a complete team performance on the road.
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Dallas Carries Strong Momentum Back Home
Dallas enters this matchup with a 15-8 overall record and an impressive 6-3 record at the American Airlines Center. The Wings have won four consecutive games and are 4-1 over their last five. They recently earned a 108-95 road win over Toronto after defeating New York 88-77. Dallas also collected another road win over Toronto, 89-76, and edged Connecticut 86-83. The Wings’ only loss during this stretch was an 85-77 home defeat against Minnesota.
The Wings average 89.2 points per game while allowing 85.1. Dallas shoots 46% from the field and averages 34.0 rebounds, 22.1 assists, 3.4 blocks, and 7.1 steals per contest. The Wings have the advantage over Chicago in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounds, assists, and steals. Dallas also allows 4.3 fewer points per game than the Sky, giving the home team a favorable statistical position on both ends of the court.
Dallas’ biggest strength is its combination of offensive efficiency and ball movement. The Wings shoot 46% from the field and average 22.1 assists, while Chicago shoots 43% and averages 20.8 assists. Dallas has scored at least 86 points in each game during its current four-game winning streak, including 108 in its most recent outing. The Wings’ positive average scoring margin and strong recent results provide a solid foundation as they return home.
Chicago Sky vs Dallas Wings Picks and Prediction
Chicago Sky vs Dallas Wings Pick
- Pick: Dallas Wings Moneyline
Dallas is the stronger moneyline selection based on the records, recent results, home and road splits, matchup predictor, and team statistics. The Wings enter at 15-8 overall, while the Sky are 7-15. Dallas is also 6-3 at home, compared with Chicago’s 4-8 road record. The Wings have won four straight games, while the Sky have lost three of their last four. ESPN Analytics gives Dallas a commanding 70.2% chance of winning, and the Wings hold advantages in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounding, assists, steals, and points allowed.
Chicago Sky vs Dallas Wings Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 176.5
I would take the over if the total is set at 176.5. Chicago averages 86.2 points per game and Dallas averages 89.2, giving the teams a combined scoring average of 175.4. The Sky have allowed at least 98 points in four of their last five games, and their last five contests have produced combined scores of 189, 143, 188, 206, and 218 points. Dallas has also scored at least 86 points in four consecutive games, including 108 in its most recent win. Based on the supplied offensive production and Chicago’s recent points-against totals, the over would be my preferred play at that number.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Wings 96 – Chicago Sky 87
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