Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Friday July 3 2026
Use Code SSWC The Chicago Sky travel to face the Las Vegas Aces on Friday, July 3, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, with the game airing on ION and WNBA League Pass. Las Vegas enters as a -380 moneyline favorite, while Chicago is listed at +300. The Aces are favored by 9.5 points, and the total is set at 182.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Chicago Searches for Another Offensive Spark
Chicago enters this matchup with a 6-13 overall record and a 3-6 mark on the road. The Sky have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently losing to Las Vegas while picking up impressive victories over Portland in consecutive games. They also fell to Connecticut and Dallas during that stretch as they continue trying to climb the standings.
The Sky are averaging 86.4 points per game while allowing 89.5 points. They are shooting 43 percent from the field and average 33.4 rebounds along with 20.8 assists per contest. Defensively, Chicago averages 5.5 blocks and 6.6 steals each game.
Chicago's biggest weakness has been its defensive production, allowing nearly 90 points per game this season. While the offense has shown it can produce high-scoring performances, the Sky will need stronger defensive play after surrendering 107 points in their most recent meeting with Las Vegas.
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Las Vegas Continues Strong Season at Home
Las Vegas owns a 14-5 overall record and is 5-3 on its home floor entering Friday night's contest. The Aces have won three of their last five games, recently defeating Chicago, Dallas, and Golden State while falling to both New York matchups during that stretch. Their recent victory over the Sky provides momentum entering this rematch.
The Aces have averaged 90.7 points per game while allowing 86.4 points. They are shooting an outstanding 49 percent from the field while averaging 35.3 rebounds and 22.9 assists. Defensively, Las Vegas contributes 5.4 blocks and 6.9 steals per contest.
The biggest strength for Las Vegas has been offensive efficiency. The Aces lead this matchup in scoring, field goal percentage, rebounding, assists, and steals while also matching Chicago closely in blocked shots. Those numbers have helped produce one of the league's strongest records through 19 games.
Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction
Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -9.5
Las Vegas has the better overall record, stronger offensive numbers, and already defeated Chicago during the Sky's most recent game. The Aces also hold statistical advantages in several important categories, including scoring, shooting percentage, rebounding, and assists. Those numbers make Las Vegas the side I'm backing to cover the spread.
Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces Total Pick
- Pick: Over 182.5
I'm taking the over in this game. Las Vegas averages 90.7 points per contest, while Chicago averages 86.4. Their previous meeting finished with 206 total points, and both teams have shown they can generate offense. Based on the scoring averages provided, I like this matchup to finish above the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 96 – Chicago Sky 88
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