Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 10, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Chicago Sky visit the Los Angeles Sparks at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California, on Friday, July 10, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, with coverage available on ION and WNBA League Pass. Los Angeles enters as a 1.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -125, while Chicago is listed at +105. The total is set at 180.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Chicago enters at 7-14 overall, while Los Angeles comes in at 9-11. ESPN’s Matchup Predictor gives the Sparks a 69.3% chance to win, compared to 30.7% for the Sky. With Los Angeles favored by a narrow spread and both teams coming off recent wins, this matchup has the potential to be competitive from start to finish.
Chicago Looks to Carry Its Road Energy West
The Sky enter this game with a 7-14 overall record and a 4-7 mark away from home. Chicago has recently won over Phoenix, recently lost to Las Vegas in overtime, recently lost to Las Vegas again, and recently won over Portland twice. That gives the Sky three wins in their last five games, including their most recent 77-66 victory on the road.
Chicago averages 86.1 points per game while allowing 88.8 points per contest. The Sky shoot 43% from the field, average 33.4 rebounds, and produce 20.8 assists per game. Defensively, Chicago averages 5.4 blocks and 6.9 steals, giving the Sky a clear edge in blocks compared to Los Angeles.
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The key strength for Chicago is its shot-blocking. Averaging 5.4 blocks per game gives the Sky a defensive category where they hold a noticeable advantage. If Chicago can combine that interior resistance with the scoring form shown in recent wins, the Sky have enough supplied numbers to keep this game close.
Los Angeles Tries to Build on Its Home Win
The Sparks come into Friday’s matchup with a 9-11 overall record and a 4-7 mark at home. Los Angeles has recently won over Indiana, recently lost to Seattle, recently lost to Indiana, recently lost to Toronto, and recently won over New York. That gives the Sparks two wins in their last five games, including a 106-92 victory in their most recent outing.
Los Angeles averages 88.4 points per game while allowing 93.6 points per contest. The Sparks shoot 45% from the field, average 31.1 rebounds, and produce 20.4 assists per game. Defensively, Los Angeles averages 2.9 blocks and 7.5 steals, giving the Sparks the better steals average between the two teams.
The biggest strength for Los Angeles is its scoring and shooting profile. The Sparks average more points than Chicago and shoot a higher percentage from the field. That offensive edge matters in a game with a small spread, especially with Los Angeles also holding the higher Matchup Predictor percentage.
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -1.5
Los Angeles gets the slight edge based on the information provided. The Sparks have the better overall record at 9-11 compared to Chicago’s 7-14, are favored by 1.5 points, and hold a 69.3% win probability from ESPN’s Matchup Predictor. Chicago has the better recent five-game record, but Los Angeles has the stronger offensive average, better field goal percentage, and home-court setting.
Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks Total Pick
- Pick: Over 180.5
I’m taking the over at 180.5. Chicago averages 86.1 points per game and allows 88.8, while Los Angeles averages 88.4 and allows 93.6. With both teams allowing more than they score and the Sparks coming off a 106-92 result, I like this matchup to clear the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 94 – Chicago Sky 90
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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