Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 22, 2026
The Chicago Sky travel to face the New York Liberty at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage available through WNBA League Pass, Fox 5 New York, and two additional regional options. New York enters as a 9.5-point home favorite and is listed at -550 on the moneyline, while Chicago is priced at +410. The total is set at 179.5 points. ESPN Analytics gives New York a 78.3% chance of winning, compared with 21.7% for Chicago. Before wagering on Wednesday’s matchup, be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
Chicago Looks to Rediscover Its Winning Formula
Chicago enters this matchup with a 9-17 overall record and a 4-10 mark away from home. The Sky are 2-3 over their last five games after recently losing to Atlanta 93-91. Chicago recently won over Los Angeles 96-82 and Seattle 95-90 before losing to Dallas 96-91 and Los Angeles 102-87. Four of the Sky’s last five games have been decided by five points or fewer or ended with Chicago winning by at least 14 points, showing a mixture of competitive finishes and stronger victories.
The Sky average 87.3 points per game while allowing 89.5 points. Chicago shoots 44% from the field and averages 33.2 rebounds and 21.0 assists per contest. The Sky also average 4.9 blocks and 6.8 steals. Chicago trails New York by one point in scoring, two percentage points in field-goal shooting, and 1.5 rebounds per game. However, the Sky average slightly more assists, blocks, and steals than the Liberty.
Chicago’s most notable strength has been its recent offensive production. The Sky have scored at least 87 points in each of their last five games, reaching 91 or more four times. That consistency gives Chicago a chance to challenge a New York team allowing 85.9 points per game. The concern is that the Sky have surrendered at least 90 points in four of those five contests. Chicago’s offense has kept it competitive, but its defense has not consistently produced the stops required to turn close games into victories.
New York Returns Home Seeking Fresh Momentum
New York comes into Wednesday night with a 14-12 overall record and a 7-5 mark at Barclays Center. The Liberty recently won over Dallas 99-98 in overtime, ending a four-game losing streak. Before that victory, New York recently lost to Indiana 108-88, Toronto 93-91, Minnesota 90-85, and Dallas 88-77. The Liberty’s latest win provided a positive response, although four of their last five games have been played away from home.
The Liberty average 88.3 points per game while surrendering 85.9 points, giving them a positive average scoring margin of 2.4 points. New York shoots 46% from the field and produces 34.7 rebounds and 20.3 assists per game. The Liberty also average 4.2 blocks and 6.2 steals. New York owns the better scoring, shooting, rebounding, and defensive averages in this matchup, while Chicago holds modest advantages in assists, blocks, and steals.
New York’s clearest strength is its overall balance. The Liberty score more points than Chicago while allowing 3.6 fewer points per game. They also shoot two percentage points better from the field and collect 1.5 more rebounds per contest. Those advantages help explain why New York is a substantial home favorite and holds a 78.3% probability in the matchup predictor. However, the Liberty’s recent four-game slide before Monday’s overtime win creates some risk when asking them to cover a spread approaching double digits.
Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction
Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty -9.5
I am laying the 9.5 points with New York. Chicago has played several competitive games recently, but the Sky enter with a 4-10 road record and have allowed at least 90 points in four of their last five contests. New York has the better overall record, a winning home mark, and statistical advantages in scoring, field-goal percentage, rebounding, and points allowed. The Liberty also returned to the win column with 99 points in their latest game. With ESPN Analytics giving New York a 78.3% chance to win, I expect the Liberty’s stronger two-way numbers to produce a double-digit home victory.
Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty Total Pick
- Pick: Under 179.5
I am taking the under 179.5. Chicago and New York combine to average 175.6 points per game, leaving nearly four points of separation beneath the posted total. The Liberty allow 85.9 points per game and have held three of their last five opponents to 93 points or fewer. Chicago has scored consistently during its recent stretch, but New York’s stronger defensive average and home setting give the Liberty an opportunity to control the game. I still expect both teams to produce solid offensive totals, but the combined scoring averages support a final result that stays just below 180 points.
Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty 94 – Chicago Sky 84