Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
The Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury meet on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on WNBA League Pass. Phoenix enters as a -3.5 favorite with a moneyline of -170, while Chicago is listed at +142. The total for the matchup is set at 173.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks before making your selections.
Chicago Searches for Another Road Breakthrough
The Sky head into Tuesday night's matchup with a 6-14 overall record and a 3-7 mark away from home. Chicago has split its last five games, earning victories over Portland in consecutive contests while dropping games against Connecticut and Las Vegas twice, including an overtime defeat in its most recent outing. The Sky have shown the ability to put points on the board, but recent results have been difficult to sustain consistently.
Chicago is averaging 86.6 points per game while allowing 90.0 points per contest. The Sky are shooting 43% from the field and average 33.4 rebounds along with 20.8 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 5.4 blocks and 6.7 steals per contest.
One of Chicago's strengths has been its offensive production, as the Sky average 86.6 points per game and move the ball effectively with 20.8 assists per contest. However, allowing 90.0 points per game has made it difficult to consistently turn solid offensive performances into victories.
Phoenix Aims to Continue Its Winning Stretch
Phoenix enters this contest with an 8-13 overall record and a 3-6 record at home. The Mercury have been playing some of their best basketball recently, winning four of their last five games. During that stretch, Phoenix earned victories over Seattle, Toronto, and Indiana after adding another win over Seattle. The only setback came on the road against Indiana.
The Mercury average 84.2 points per game while allowing 85.9 points. They are shooting 44% from the field and average 32.2 rebounds with 19.4 assists per contest. Phoenix also averages 3.6 blocks and 7.7 steals per game on the defensive end.
The biggest strength for Phoenix has been its recent ability to limit opponents while creating extra possessions through defensive pressure. The Mercury lead this matchup in steals per game and have allowed fewer points than Chicago over the course of the season, helping fuel their recent stretch of success.
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Pick
- Pick: Phoenix Mercury -3.5
Phoenix enters this matchup with momentum after winning four of its last five games, while Chicago has dropped three of its previous five contests. The Mercury have also allowed fewer points per game than the Sky and own the higher field goal percentage. With those advantages and home court on their side, I'm backing Phoenix to cover the spread.
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury Total Pick
- Pick: Over 173.5
I'm taking the over because Chicago averages 86.6 points per game, and several of the Sky's recent contests have comfortably exceeded this number. Phoenix has also been involved in high-scoring games during its recent winning stretch. With both teams capable of contributing offensively, I like this matchup to finish above the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix Mercury 90 – Chicago Sky 85