Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Sunday, August 16, 2026

The Chicago Sky travel to Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, to face the Seattle Storm on Sunday, August 16, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 5:00 PM ET. The game will be available on WNBA League Pass, with additional local coverage. Chicago enters as a 1.5-point road favorite with a -115 moneyline, while Seattle is +1.5 with a -105 moneyline. The current over/under is 178.5 points. Before making your wagers, check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions and analysis.

Chicago Looking to End Its Road Struggles

Chicago enters Sunday's matchup at 12-22 overall and just 4-13 on the road. The Sky have lost three straight and four of their last five games. Their only victory during that five-game stretch was a 95-88 home win over Los Angeles. Chicago has since lost 90-86 to Indiana, 97-88 at Seattle, and 91-71 at Golden State.

For the season, Chicago is averaging 87.7 points per game while allowing 90.2 points. The Sky are shooting 45% from the field while averaging 32.7 rebounds and 21.5 assists per game. They also produce 4.6 blocks and 7.2 steals per contest.

The biggest issue for Chicago is clearly on the defensive end. The Sky's 87.7-point scoring average is actually 4.4 points higher than Seattle's, but Chicago is allowing more than 90 points per game. That weakness was evident in the first two meetings with Seattle, when the Storm scored 95 and 97 points. Chicago needs its superior offensive production to overcome a defense that has struggled to consistently get stops.

Seattle Has Home Court Working in Its Favor

Seattle comes into the game with a 7-29 overall record and a 5-12 mark at Climate Pledge Arena. The Storm have dropped four of their last five games, with their lone victory coming against this Chicago team, 97-88, on August 10. Seattle followed that win with an 84-82 home loss to Portland on Friday.

The Storm are averaging 83.3 points per game while surrendering 88.5. Seattle shoots 43% from the field and averages 33.7 rebounds and 19.3 assists per contest. Defensively, the Storm average 4.3 blocks and 7.6 steals per game.

Seattle's overall record is difficult to overlook, but this particular matchup has been competitive. The season series is tied 1-1, with Chicago winning the first meeting 95-90 before Seattle answered with its 97-88 victory less than a week ago. The Storm also have a slight rebounding advantage and allow 1.7 fewer points per game than Chicago. With Seattle playing at home and already having defeated the Sky there, the small underdog spread offers some value.

Chicago Sky vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction

Pick: Seattle Storm +1.5

Seattle +1.5 is the preferred side in a matchup between two teams that have struggled to generate consistent wins. Chicago has the better overall record and the stronger season-long offense, but the Sky are only 4-13 away from home and have dropped four of their last five. Seattle beat Chicago 97-88 at Climate Pledge Arena on August 10, and the Storm's slight advantages in rebounding, steals, and points allowed give them enough of a case to take the points at home.

Pick: Over 178.5

The over is the stronger total angle. Chicago's games feature a combined season scoring-and-allowing profile of 177.9 points, while the Sky have allowed 90.2 per contest. More importantly, the first two meetings between these teams produced 185 points apiece, with Chicago winning 95-90 and Seattle winning 97-88. With both defenses allowing at least 88.5 points per game, Over 178.5 is the pick.