Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Thursday, August 20, 2026
The Connecticut Sun visit the Las Vegas Aces at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, with the opening tip at 10:00 PM ET. Connecticut is 9-25, seventh in the Eastern Conference, and 3-13 on the road after beating Los Angeles 85-77 Tuesday. The Sun are 2-3 over their last five games. Las Vegas is 24-13, third in the Western Conference, and 11-7 at home after losing 97-82 to Atlanta. The Aces have dropped two straight and three of five. Get set for Thursday night with our free WNBA picks.
Connecticut Sun Look to Build on Tuesday’s Win
Connecticut averages a WNBA-low 79.2 points per game while shooting 42.7% from the field and 29.9% from three-point range. The Sun average 33.1 rebounds and 19.0 assists while committing 13.8 turnovers. Leila Lacan leads Connecticut with 11.8 points and 4.5 assists per game, while Olivia Nelson-Ododa averages 9.9 points and 6.1 rebounds. Connecticut has scored 75 points or fewer in three of its last five games but reached 85 in Tuesday’s win.
The Sun allow 87.2 points per game while opponents shoot 46.1% from the field and 36.2% from three. Connecticut has allowed at least 82 points in three of its last five, including 104 against Atlanta. The Sun have struggled badly away from home at 3-13 and now face a Las Vegas offense averaging 90.6 points. Connecticut does average 8.0 steals and 4.8 blocks, but the defense will need to slow an Aces lineup shooting 48.4% overall.
Injuries: Hailey Van Lith (Out), Rayah Marshall (Out), Aaliyah Edwards (Out), Brittney Griner (Out), Maria Kliundikova (Out For Season).
Las Vegas Aces Look to Stop Two-Game Slide
Las Vegas averages 90.6 points while shooting 48.4% from the field and 35.9% from three-point range. A’ja Wilson leads the Aces with 26.1 points and 9.7 rebounds per game while shooting 51.9%. Jackie Young adds 18.6 points and 6.7 assists, while Chelsea Gray averages 12.3 points and 6.9 assists. Las Vegas has scored at least 82 points in four straight games but has gone only 2-2 during that stretch after consecutive losses to Minnesota and Atlanta.
The Aces allow 87.1 points per game, with opponents shooting 44.7% from the field and 35.5% from three. Las Vegas forces 14.8 turnovers per game while committing only 12.0, an important advantage against a Connecticut offense already struggling to score. The Aces have also won both meetings this season, scoring 98 and 101 points against the Sun. Las Vegas enters Thursday with an 11-7 home record and a significant scoring advantage over Connecticut.
Injuries: Dana Evans (Out).
Key Player Matchup
Olivia Nelson-Ododa vs A’ja Wilson
Nelson-Ododa gives Connecticut an interior presence, averaging 9.9 points and 6.1 rebounds while shooting 57.2% from the field. Wilson presents a much larger scoring and rebounding challenge, averaging 26.1 points and 9.7 rebounds while shooting 51.9%. Wilson also contributes 2.1 blocks and 1.5 steals per game. Nelson-Ododa needs to limit Wilson’s work around the basket while helping Connecticut on the glass. Wilson’s scoring gives Las Vegas a major advantage against a Sun team missing Griner and Edwards from its frontcourt.
Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Game Pick
- Las Vegas Aces -13.5
Las Vegas -13.5 is the game pick because the Aces hold major advantages in scoring and shooting. Las Vegas averages 90.6 points while shooting 48.4%, compared with Connecticut’s 79.2 points and 42.7%. The Aces have also won both previous meetings, scoring 98 and 101 points while winning by 29 and seven. Connecticut is only 3-13 on the road and enters without Griner and Edwards. Wilson, Young, and Gray give Las Vegas enough scoring options to create a big lead and cover the 13.5-point spread at home Thursday.
Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces Over/Under Pick
- Over 170.5
Over 170.5 is the total pick because Las Vegas has already produced big offensive numbers against Connecticut this season. The first two meetings finished with 167 and 195 combined points, while the Aces scored at least 98 in both. Las Vegas averages 90.6 points and faces a Sun defense allowing 87.2 per game. Connecticut scored 85 in Tuesday’s victory, showing enough offense to contribute despite its season average. With Las Vegas allowing 87.1 points per game, both teams will contribute to cash this game over 170.5.