Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Thursday July 2 2026
Use Code SSWC The Dallas Wings travel to PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford, Connecticut, on Thursday, July 2, 2026, to take on the Connecticut Sun. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, with coverage on Prime Video and KFAA-TV. Dallas enters as a 9.5-point favorite with a -355 moneyline, while Connecticut is a +280 underdog. The total is set at 169.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Dallas Brings the Higher-Scoring Offense
The Wings enter this contest with an 11-8 overall record and a 5-5 mark on the road. Dallas has split its recent stretch, losing to Minnesota and Las Vegas while picking up victories over Seattle and Chicago after dropping another game to Golden State. Despite the recent losses, the Wings remain above .500 and have been competitive throughout the season.
Dallas averages 88.4 points per game while allowing 85.6 points. The Wings are shooting 46% from the field, averaging 33.7 rebounds and 22.3 assists per contest. Defensively, they contribute 3.3 blocks and 7.6 steals each game.
The biggest strength for Dallas is its offensive efficiency. The Wings lead Connecticut in points per game, field goal percentage, and assists while matching the Sun in rebounds. That balanced offensive production has helped Dallas maintain one of the better records in this matchup.
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Connecticut Looks to Keep Its Momentum Going
The Sun enter Thursday with a 4-15 overall record and a 3-7 home record. Connecticut recently defeated Washington and Chicago before suffering losses to Toronto, Washington, and Indiana. Although the Sun have struggled throughout the season, they have shown signs of improvement by winning two of their last five games.
Connecticut averages 79.3 points per game while allowing 86.6 points. The Sun are shooting 43% from the field, averaging 33.7 rebounds and 18.8 assists per contest. They also average 4.5 blocks and 8.3 steals per game.
The biggest statistical advantage for Connecticut is its defensive activity. The Sun average more blocks and steals than Dallas, creating additional opportunities to disrupt opposing offenses. However, Connecticut has been challenged by scoring consistency, averaging just 79.3 points per game.
Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction
Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun Pick
- Pick: Dallas Wings -9.5
I'll take Dallas to cover the spread. The Wings own the better overall record and have significant advantages in scoring, shooting percentage, and assists. Dallas also averages more than nine points per game above Connecticut, making the spread reasonable based on the season-long numbers provided.
Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick
- Pick: Under 169.5
I like the under in this matchup. Connecticut averages only 79.3 points per game, and Dallas is coming off a game in which it scored 77 points. While the Wings have been one of the higher-scoring teams in this matchup, the Sun's lower offensive production makes me believe this game stays below the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Dallas Wings 87 – Connecticut Sun 78
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