Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Monday, August 17, 2026

The Dallas Wings travel to Chase Center in San Francisco, California, to face the Golden State Valkyries on Monday, August 17, with tipoff scheduled for 10:00 p.m. ET. Peacock, NBCSN and KFAA-TV will provide coverage. Dallas enters at 20-15 overall and 10-9 on the road, while Golden State is 24-9 overall and an excellent 14-4 at home. The Wings are listed as 6.5-point underdogs with a +190 moneyline, while Golden State is -230 on the moneyline and -6.5 against the spread. The total is set at 162.5 points. Before betting Monday’s WNBA slate, check out our free WNBA picks for more predictions and analysis from around the league.

Wings Need More Defensive Resistance

Dallas enters Monday at 20-15 overall but has lost four of its last five games. The Wings' only victory during that stretch was a 94-88 home win, while the four losses came by scores of 98-87, 103-90, 94-76 and 96-92. Dallas has therefore continued to score at a high level, but the defensive end has been a major problem. The Wings have allowed at least 94 points in four of their last five games.

Dallas averages 89.0 points per game while allowing 86.6. The Wings shoot 46% from the field and average 33.9 rebounds and 21.9 assists per game. They also average 3.7 blocks and 6.7 steals. Offensively, Dallas has enough efficiency and passing to stay competitive, but the defensive numbers leave very little margin for error against stronger opponents.

The matchup becomes especially difficult because Golden State has already beaten Dallas twice this season. The Valkyries won the first meeting 91-80 and followed that with a 94-76 victory on August 7. Dallas can score enough to keep games interesting, but the Wings have yet to show that they can consistently slow Golden State's more balanced attack.

Valkyries Continue to Win With Defense

Golden State enters Monday at 24-9 overall and has won five consecutive games. The Valkyries' recent victories came by scores of 91-71, 84-78, 94-76, 92-81 and 96-79. Golden State has not only been winning but has been doing so by controlling both ends of the floor, with three of those five victories coming by at least 15 points.

The Valkyries average 83.5 points per game while allowing only 76.9. They shoot 43% from the field and average 32.5 rebounds and 19.1 assists per game. Golden State also contributes 4.0 blocks and 7.8 steals per contest. The offensive numbers are not as explosive as Dallas', but the defensive profile is far superior.

Golden State's biggest edge is the gap between the two defenses. The Valkyries allow nearly 10 fewer points per game than Dallas, and that advantage has already shown up directly in this matchup. Golden State also has the better home record and enters on a five-game winning streak. The Wings' scoring ability prevents this from being an automatic blowout, but the overall matchup strongly favors the Valkyries.

Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction

Spread Pick: Golden State Valkyries -6.5

The Valkyries are also the preferred side against the spread. Golden State has already beaten Dallas by 11 and 18 points this season, including a convincing 94-76 victory just 10 days before this matchup. Dallas has lost four of five and has allowed at least 94 points in four of those games. Golden State's defensive consistency and 14-4 home record create enough separation to lay the 6.5 points.

Spread Pick: Golden State Valkyries -6.5 (-110)

Total Pick: Over 162.5

The over is the stronger total play at 162.5. Dallas averages 89.0 points per game and has scored at least 87 points in four of its last five contests. The issue for the Wings has been stopping opponents, with 94 or more points allowed in four of those same five games. Golden State is more defensive-minded, but it has scored at least 84 points in each game during its five-game winning streak. If Dallas can get into the low-to-mid 80s, Golden State should have enough offensive production to push this matchup over the posted total.

Total Pick: Over 162.5 (-110)