Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 4, 2025
The Dallas Wings (9-32, 13th in WNBA) are set to face the Golden State Valkyries (22-18, sixth in WNBA) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup for our Wings vs. Valkyries prediction. These teams are trending in opposite directions with how they are playing lately. This is the fourth and final regular season game against one another as the Valkyries hold a 2-1 season series lead. Set the tone — WNBA picks for Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries with clear angles.
Wings Looking to Play Spoiler
The Dallas Wings, positioned last in the league with a 9-32 record, have showcased they are going to need to improve as they are on an eight-game losing streak. Their most recent road loss against the Minnesota Lynx, a 96-71game, showcases that they struggle on the defensive side of the court. Dallas’s offense is struggling this year as they are averaging 81.5 points per game and shooting 42.1% from the floor. They shoot the three poorly as they are 31.0% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team has done well, shooting 80.3% as a team. They has beendoing well in terms of crashing the boards, as they average 35.1 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Dallas does a terrible job against their opponents, allowing them to score 88.3 points per game, ranking them last in the WNBA. This defensive showing has been struggling with the 12th-ranked field goal defense at 46.2% and 13th in 3-point defense at 39.0%. The team has been led by rookie guard Paige Bueckers’ 18.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 0.5 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game to help lead the way.
Injury Report for Dallas
- Guard Aziaha Harris: Ankle (Questionable)
- Guard Haley Jones: Knee (Questionable)
- Center Luisa Geiselsoder: Shoulder (OUT)
- Guard Tyasha Harris: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Lou Lopez Senechal: Not Injury Related (OUT)
- Guard Arike Ogunbowale: Knee (OUT)
- Guard JJ Quinerly: Knee (OUT)
- Center Li Yueru: Knee (OUT)
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Valkyries Fighting for a Postseason Spot
The Golden State Valkyries have been a middling team as they are sixth in the league with a 22-18 record. Their offensive firepower has been struggling, as evidenced by their 10th-ranked scoring average of 78.5 points per game. This scoring ability needs to improve as they have the 13th-ranked field goal percentage of 41.0% and 33.1% from 3-point territory, which is ninth. The rebounding figures have them at third in the sport as they are recording 35.1 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Valkyries allow an average of 76.4 points per game, ranking them first and that makes things incredibly easier for them going forward. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers is stepping up, with opponents shooting 40.4% and 31.6% respectively. The team needs to show another step up as young guard Veronica Burton is averaging 11.9 points, 4.5 rebounds, 5.9 assists, 0.6 blocks, and 1.1 steals per game.
Injury Report for Golden State
- Guard Tiffany Hayes: Knee (Questionable)
- Guard Cecillia Zandalasini: Calf (Questionable)
- Forward Maria Conde: Achilles (OUT)
- Guard Juste Jocyte: Not Injury Related (OUT)
- Forward Kayla Thornton: Knee (OUT)
Golden State Valkyries -9.5 (4 units)
When diving into the previous five games, there is a massive difference with how these teams are doing defending the perimeter. Golden State ranks second in basketball in that stretch with a 29.6 opposing 3-point percentage while Dallas is dead last with a 44.5 3-point percentage against. The net ratings over the course of the season show a major gap as the Wings are 11th with a -8.2 net rating while the Valkyries are seventh with a 2.7 net rating, larger than the spread indicates. Take the Golden State Valkyries to win at home by double digits here.
Under 158.5 (5 units)
Neither team has been able to do too well when looking at their offensive ratings as Dallas is 10th with a 101.4 offensive rating while Golden State is ninth with a 102.3 offensive rating this year. The effective field goal percentage also shows neither team has been able to do too well in that aspect either. The Wings are 12th with a 46.8 effective field goal percentage while the Valkyries are ninth with a 48.6 effective shooting percentage. All in all, take under 158.5 total points as the better bet for the total.
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