Dallas Wings vs LA Sparks Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 7, 2025
The Dallas Wings (9-33, 13th in WNBA) are set to face the Los Angeles Sparks (19-22, ninth in WNBA) in what promises to be an entertaining matchup for our Wings vs. Sparks prediction. These teams are both on losing streaks entering this game. This is the fourth and final regular season game against one another as the Sparks look for the season sweep. On the court: WNBA predictions for Dallas Wings vs LA Sparks with recent form.
Wings Looking to Figure Things Out
The Dallas Wings, positioned last in the league with a 9-33 record, have showcased they are going to need to improve as they are on a nine-game losing streak. Their most recent road loss against the Golden State Valkyries, an 84-80 game, showcases that they struggle on the defensive side of the court. Dallas’s offense is struggling this year as they are averaging 81.4 points per game and shooting 42.1% from the floor. They shoot the three poorly as they are 30.7% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team has done well, shooting 80.2% as a team. They has been doing well in terms of crashing the boards, as they average 35.0 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Dallas does a terrible job against their opponents, allowing them to score 88.2 points per game, ranking them 12th in the WNBA. This defensive showing has been struggling with the 12th-ranked field goal defense at 46.1% and 13th in 3-point defense at 38.9%. The team has been led by rookie guard Paige Bueckers’ 19.1 points, 3.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game to help lead the way.
Injury Report for Dallas
- Center Luisa Geiselsoder: Shoulder (OUT)
- Guard Tyasha Harris: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Lou Lopez Senechal: Not Injury Related (OUT)
- Guard Arike Ogunbowale: Knee (OUT)
- Guard JJ Quinerly: Knee (OUT)
- Center Li Yueru: Knee (OUT)
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Sparks Looking to Make the Postseason
The Los Angeles Sparks have been a middling team as they are ninth in the league with a 19-22 record. Their offensive firepower has been outstanding, as evidenced by their second-ranked scoring average of 85.7 points per game. This scoring ability needs to improve as they have the second-ranked field goal percentage of 46.0% and 34.4% from 3-point territory, which is third. The rebounding figures have them at 11th in the sport as they are recording 33.1 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Sparks allow an average of 88.3 points per game, ranking them last and that makes things incredibly more difficult for them going forward. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers is stepping up, with opponents shooting 45.5% and 36.5% respectively. The team needs to show another step up as veteran guard Kelsey Plum is averaging 19.9 points, 3.2 rebounds, 5.8 assists, 0.1 blocks, and 1.3 steals per game.
Injury Report for Los Angeles
No injuries to report
Dallas Wings vs. LA Sparks Pick
Spread Pick for Dallas Wings vs. LA Sparks
- Los Angeles Sparks -9.5 (5 units)
The Dallas Wings theoretically have nothing to play for, while the Los Angeles Sparks are fighting for one of the final playoff spots available. The true shooting percentage for these teams shows a significant gap as the Wings are 12th with a 51.3 true shooting percentage, while the Sparks are third in the sport with a 56.7 true shooting percentage thus far. During the previous 15 games, the net ratings show that they are larger than the spread, as Dallas has a -13.8 net rating while Los Angeles is posting a -3.3 net rating in that stretch. Go with the Los Angeles Sparks to win by double digits at home.
Over/Under Pick for Dallas Wings vs. LA Sparks
- Over 178.5 (4 units)
The offensive rebounding rate shows these teams are going to crash the glass well as Dallas is second in the sport with a 33.2 offensive rebounding percentage, while Los Angeles is sixth with a 29.9 offensive rebounding rate. These are the two worst teams in defending the 3-point line, as the Wings are 13th with a 38.9 opposing 3-point percentage, while the Sparks are 12th with a 36.5 percentage from beyond the arc against them. All in all, go with the over here.
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