Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 25 2026
Use Code SSWC The Dallas Wings travel to face the Las Vegas Aces at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM with television coverage on NBA TV, Vegas 34, and KFAA-TV. Las Vegas enters the matchup as a 4.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -175, while Dallas is listed at +145. The total is set at 175.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Dallas Arrives with Momentum and Confidence
The Wings enter Thursday night's matchup with an impressive 11-6 overall record and a 5-4 mark on the road. Dallas has won three of its last five games, including consecutive victories over Seattle and Chicago. The Wings also defeated Las Vegas 96-66 on June 15, giving them a recent head-to-head win entering this contest. Their two losses during the last five games came against Golden State and Portland.
Dallas has been one of the league's more productive offensive teams this season, averaging 89.4 points per game. The Wings shoot 46 percent from the field while averaging 34.0 rebounds and 23.1 assists per contest. Defensively, Dallas has allowed 84.9 points per game while contributing 7.6 steals and 3.4 blocks.
One area where Dallas stands out is on the defensive side of the ball. The Wings are allowing fewer than 85 points per game, which is the best defensive figure between these two teams. Combined with their strong assist numbers, Dallas has consistently found ways to create efficient offense while limiting opponents.
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Las Vegas Looks to Defend Home Court
The Aces enter this matchup with a 12-5 overall record and a 4-3 home record. Las Vegas has won three of its last five games, earning victories over Golden State, Phoenix, and Minnesota. However, the Aces have also suffered losses against New York and Dallas during that stretch, including the 30-point defeat against the Wings on June 15.
Las Vegas has been extremely effective offensively, averaging 89.2 points per game while shooting 48 percent from the field. The Aces also average 35.5 rebounds and 23.3 assists per game. Defensively, they allow 85.8 points per contest while producing 5.6 blocks and 6.9 steals.
The biggest statistical advantage for Las Vegas is shooting efficiency. The Aces own the better field goal percentage and hold slight advantages in rebounds, assists, and blocks. When Las Vegas is operating efficiently on offense, it has shown the ability to generate scoring opportunities consistently throughout games.
Comparing the Numbers Heading Into Thursday
These teams are remarkably close in several key categories. Dallas averages 89.4 points per game while Las Vegas averages 89.2. The Wings have the edge defensively, allowing 84.9 points compared to 85.8 for the Aces. Las Vegas counters with advantages in field goal percentage, rebounds, assists, and blocks.
Recent form suggests both teams are playing well. Dallas has won three of its last five games and enters the matchup after back-to-back victories. Las Vegas has also won three of five, though one of those losses came against Dallas in convincing fashion. That previous meeting could play a role in how both teams approach this rematch.
The betting market still favors Las Vegas despite the previous result. The Aces are listed as 4.5-point favorites at home and own a 69.2 percent matchup predictor rating compared to 30.9 percent for Dallas. That confidence likely reflects Las Vegas' slightly better overall record and stronger season-long efficiency metrics.
Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction
Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
- Pick: Dallas Wings +4.5
Dallas already owns a recent victory over Las Vegas and enters this game with strong momentum after consecutive wins. The Wings have also been the better defensive team statistically, allowing fewer points per game than the Aces. Getting points with a team that has already defeated this opponent recently provides value in this matchup.
Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Total Pick
- Pick: Over 175.5
I like the over because both teams average approximately 89 points per game and rank among the better offensive groups in this matchup. Dallas and Las Vegas each move the ball well, as shown by their assist numbers, and both have participated in several high-scoring contests recently. The offensive production on both sides makes the over appealing.
Final Score Prediction
Dallas Wings 91 – Las Vegas Aces 89
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