Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Sunday August 9 2026
The Dallas Wings will face the Minnesota Lynx on Sunday, August 9, 2026, at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET, with NBC and Peacock providing coverage. Dallas enters the matchup at 19-13 overall and 10-7 on the road, while Minnesota is 26-7 overall and 13-5 at home. The Lynx have already clinched a playoff berth and have won all three meetings against Dallas this season.
Minnesota is a -8.5 favorite, with Dallas getting +8.5. The Lynx are -298 on the moneyline, while the Wings are +240. The total is set at 180.5 points. Basketball bettors should also check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions throughout the season.
Dallas Looks to End Its Two-Game Slide
Dallas enters Sunday's matchup with a 19-13 overall record and 10-7 mark on the road. The Wings are 1-4 over their last five games after suffering consecutive losses. Dallas fell 94-76 against Golden State on Friday after a 96-92 loss at Washington. The Wings defeated Connecticut 83-63 before that but lost 81-75 at Washington and 82-81 against Atlanta.
The Wings average 88.8 points per game while allowing 85.7 points per game this season. Dallas is shooting 46% from the field and averages 34.1 rebounds, 21.8 assists, 3.7 blocks and 6.8 steals per game. Those numbers show an offense capable of producing points, but the Wings have struggled to translate that production into victories recently.
Dallas' biggest challenge is finding a way to change a matchup that Minnesota has controlled throughout the season. The Wings have lost all three previous meetings against the Lynx, falling 90-86, 100-76 and 85-77. Dallas has been competitive enough offensively to threaten strong opponents, but Sunday's matchup requires a much better defensive performance against one of the league's most efficient offenses.
Minnesota Continues to Set the Pace
Minnesota enters Sunday's matchup at 26-7 overall and 13-5 at Target Center. The Lynx are 4-1 over their last five games after defeating Las Vegas 98-87 on Saturday. Minnesota previously lost 89-82 to Los Angeles but defeated Indiana 108-100 and Toronto twice by scores of 104-72 and 100-93.
The Lynx average 92.4 points per game while allowing only 83.6 points per game, giving them an impressive average scoring margin of 8.8 points. Minnesota shoots 48% from the field while averaging 35.3 rebounds, 21.9 assists, 4.7 blocks and 9.0 steals per game.
Minnesota owns advantages over Dallas in nearly every major season category. The Lynx score more points, allow fewer points, shoot a higher percentage and average more rebounds, assists, blocks and steals. Their defensive numbers are particularly important because Dallas enters with a strong 88.8-point scoring average. Minnesota has consistently shown that it can combine elite offense with enough defense to separate from opponents.
Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx -8.5
The Minnesota Lynx -8.5 are the pick for Sunday's game.
Dallas has a respectable 19-13 record and has played winning basketball on the road, but Minnesota has repeatedly demonstrated that it is the stronger team in this matchup. The Lynx have beaten Dallas three times already this season, including victories by 24 and eight points in the last two meetings.
The season statistics also point strongly toward Minnesota. The Lynx average 92.4 points while allowing 83.6, compared with Dallas scoring 88.8 and allowing 85.7. That gives Minnesota a substantially stronger scoring differential.
Minnesota's 48% shooting percentage is another advantage against a Dallas team that has surrendered 90 or more points in two consecutive games. The Lynx also enter after scoring 98 against Las Vegas on Saturday.
The back-to-back scheduling situation creates some concern when laying more than eight points, but Minnesota has enough statistical advantages to overcome it. Dallas' recent 1-4 stretch makes the Wings difficult to trust against a team that has already beaten them three times.
Take the Minnesota Lynx -8.5.
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx Moneyline -298
The Minnesota Lynx are also the moneyline selection at -298.
There isn't much straight-up value at this price, so the spread is the more attractive way to back Minnesota. However, the Lynx remain the clear choice to win the game.
Minnesota is 26-7 overall, 13-5 at home and has swept the first three meetings with Dallas. The Lynx also have the better offensive and defensive season numbers and enter having won four of their last five games.
Dallas has enough offensive ability to make the game competitive, but asking the Wings to defeat Minnesota outright after losing all three previous meetings requires going against nearly every significant season indicator.
Take the Minnesota Lynx to win.
- Pick: Over 180.5
The over 180.5 at -110 is the preferred total.
This is a high number, but these teams combine to average 181.2 points per game this season. Minnesota enters averaging 92.4 points, while Dallas is scoring 88.8.
Recent Minnesota games have been even more encouraging for an over. The Lynx have scored 98, 82, 108, 104 and 100 points across their last five games. Four of those five games produced at least 186 combined points.
Dallas has also shown enough offensive potential to contribute. The Wings scored 92 against Washington earlier this week and average nearly 89 points for the season. Minnesota's defense is clearly stronger, but Dallas doesn't necessarily need to reach its full season average if the Lynx continue scoring at their recent rate.
The previous three meetings produced 176, 176 and 162 combined points, so the head-to-head results provide the strongest argument for the under. However, Minnesota's recent offensive surge has changed the scoring environment considerably. The Lynx have reached 100 points in three of their last five and came close again Saturday with 98.
Take Over 180.5 at -110.
Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 97, Dallas Wings 87