Dallas Wings vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 22, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/21/2026, 04:15 PM ET

The Dallas Wings travel to face the Portland Fire at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon, on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on USA Network, CNBC, Fox 12 Plus, and one additional regional option. Dallas enters as a 5.5-point road favorite and is listed at -225 on the moneyline, while Portland is priced at +185. The total is set at 172.5 points. ESPN Analytics gives Dallas a 67.8% chance of winning, compared with 32.2% for Portland. Before wagering on Wednesday’s late game, be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.

Dallas Takes Its Strong Road Form to Portland

Dallas enters Wednesday night with a 17-9 overall record and an impressive 9-5 mark away from home. The Wings are 4-1 over their last five games despite recently losing to New York 99-98 in overtime. Before that narrow defeat, Dallas recently won over Los Angeles 90-82, Chicago 96-91, Toronto 108-95, and New York 88-77. The Wings have scored at least 88 points in each of those five games and reached 96 points or more three times.

The Wings average 89.8 points per game while allowing 85.8 points, producing a positive average scoring margin of four points. Dallas shoots 46% from the field and averages 34.0 rebounds and 22.3 assists per contest. The Wings also produce 3.5 blocks and 6.8 steals per game. Compared with Portland, Dallas averages 4.9 more points, allows 4.4 fewer points, shoots one percentage point better, and collects 4.4 more rebounds per contest.

Dallas’ most significant advantage is its overall offensive consistency. The Wings have scored at least 90 points in four consecutive games and have averaged 96 points across their last five results. Their 22.3 assists per game also give them an advantage of 1.9 assists over Portland, supporting their stronger scoring production. Dallas has surrendered at least 91 points in three of its last four games, but its offense has repeatedly generated enough production to overcome those defensive concerns.

Portland Tries to Protect Its Home Court

Portland comes into this matchup with an 11-15 overall record and a 6-6 record at the Moda Center. The Fire have alternated wins and losses across their last five games, recently losing to Minnesota 101-93. Portland recently won over Washington 75-56 and Atlanta 102-92, while its other defeats came against Connecticut 90-87 and Las Vegas 88-80. Three of Portland’s last five games were decided by eight points or fewer, including a three-point loss to Connecticut.

The Fire average 84.9 points per game while surrendering 90.2 points, leaving them with a negative average scoring margin of 5.3 points. Portland shoots 45% from the field and averages 29.6 rebounds and 20.4 assists per game. The Fire also generate 4.0 blocks and 7.6 steals per contest. Portland holds advantages over Dallas in blocks and steals, but the Wings own the better averages in scoring, points allowed, field-goal percentage, rebounding, and assists.

Portland’s defensive activity represents one possible route to keeping this matchup close. The Fire average 0.8 more steals and 0.5 more blocks than Dallas, and they recently held Washington to only 56 points. However, that defensive performance has not been typical of their latest stretch. Portland has allowed at least 88 points in four of its last five games and surrendered 101 points in its most recent outing. Facing a Dallas offense that has scored at least 88 points in five straight games will provide another difficult challenge.

Dallas Wings vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction

Dallas Wings vs Portland Fire Pick

  • Pick: Dallas Wings -5.5

I am laying the 5.5 points with Dallas. The Wings possess the better overall record, have won four of their last five games, and enter with a strong 9-5 road mark. Dallas also owns meaningful statistical advantages in scoring, points allowed, rebounding, assists, and field-goal percentage. Portland has been competitive in several recent games and generates more blocks and steals, but the Fire have allowed at least 88 points in four of their last five contests. Dallas’ consistent offense and superior rebounding numbers should help the Wings control this matchup and earn a road victory by more than five points.

Dallas Wings vs Portland Fire Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 172.5

I am backing the over 172.5. Dallas and Portland combine to average 174.7 points per game, placing their offensive averages above the posted total. Four of the Wings’ last five games have finished with at least 181 combined points, while four of Portland’s last five have produced at least 168. Dallas has scored 90 points or more in four consecutive contests, and Portland has allowed at least 88 in four of its last five. The Fire have also demonstrated the ability to contribute offensively, reaching at least 87 points in three of their last five games. Those recent scoring results support a contest that reaches the mid-to-high 170s.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Wings 94 – Portland Fire 84

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