Dallas Wings vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Wednesday September 23 2026

The Dallas Wings visit the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET with coverage on USA Network, CNBC and CW Seattle. Dallas enters at 26-17 overall and 10-11 on the road, while Seattle is 8-35 overall and 6-15 at home. The Wings have won four of their last five games despite coming off an 87-86 loss at Phoenix, while the Storm have dropped four straight. Dallas has dominated the season series at 3-0, winning 79-56, 112-110 in overtime and 92-70. DraftKings lists Dallas as a 9.5-point favorite at -110 and -410 on the moneyline, while Seattle is +9.5 at -110 and +320 on the moneyline. The total is set at 170.5. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions throughout the season.

Dallas Looks to Continue Its Season-Long Advantage

Dallas enters Wednesday with a 26-17 record and has established a significant gap between itself and Seattle over the course of the season. The Wings are 4-1 over their last five games, with their only defeat coming by one point at Phoenix on Monday. Before that loss, Dallas had won four consecutive games by scores of 96-78, 97-71, 97-77 and 87-82. Three of those four victories came by at least 18 points, showing why the Wings are laying a substantial number despite playing on the road.

The statistical comparison strongly favors Dallas. The Wings average 89.1 points per game while allowing 85.1, producing a positive four-point scoring differential. They shoot 47% from the field while averaging 34.7 rebounds, 22.0 assists, 4.2 blocks and 6.8 steals per contest. Dallas holds clear advantages over Seattle in scoring, field-goal percentage and assists, while the rebounding numbers are nearly even.

Recent offensive consistency is another reason Dallas deserves to be favored heavily. The Wings have scored at least 86 points in five consecutive games and averaged 92.6 points during that stretch. Dallas also owns three victories over Seattle this season, including two by more than 20 points. The Wings won the first meeting 79-56 and the third 92-70, while Seattle pushed them into overtime in the second matchup before Dallas escaped with a 112-110 victory. The injury report does give Dallas some availability concerns entering Wednesday, but the season-long statistical edge remains substantial.

Seattle Tries to Stop Another Losing Streak

Seattle comes into this matchup at 8-35 overall and 6-15 at Climate Pledge Arena. The Storm have lost four straight games and are just 1-4 over their last five. Those four consecutive defeats have come by scores of 90-74, 114-77, 70-57 and 98-77. That is a difficult stretch in which Seattle has struggled at both ends of the floor, and three of the four losses came by at least 16 points.

The Storm average only 82.0 points per game while allowing 88.6, leaving them with a negative scoring differential of 6.6 points. Seattle shoots 42% from the field and averages 34.0 rebounds, 19.1 assists, 4.4 blocks and 7.8 steals. The defensive activity is respectable in terms of blocks and steals, but the larger concern is an offense that shoots five percentage points worse than Dallas and averages 7.1 fewer points per game.

Seattle's recent offensive numbers make this an especially difficult matchup. The Storm have averaged only 71.3 points during their four-game losing streak, failing to score more than 77 in any of those contests. They have simultaneously surrendered an average of 93.0 points, creating an average losing margin of 21.8 points. Seattle did push Dallas to overtime in the June meeting at Climate Pledge Arena, but the other two head-to-head games were decided by 23 and 22 points. With additional availability concerns on Seattle's side, the Storm will need a major turnaround from their recent performance to keep Wednesday's game close.

Dallas Wings vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction

Pick: Dallas Wings -9.5

Dallas -9.5 is the preferred side despite the relatively large road spread. The Wings have beaten Seattle in all three meetings this season, and two of those victories came by more than 20 points. Dallas also owns substantial season-long advantages in scoring and shooting percentage and has averaged 92.6 points over its last five games. Seattle, meanwhile, has lost four straight by an average of 21.8 points and has been held to 77 points or fewer in every game during that stretch. The Wings' 10-11 road record creates some concern, but the current form and matchup history provide enough support to lay 9.5 points with Dallas.

Pick: Under 170.5

The Under 170.5 gets the nod because Seattle's recent offensive struggles create a difficult path toward a high-scoring game. The Storm have scored 74, 77, 57 and 77 points during their four-game losing streak, an average of just 71.3. Two of the three meetings between these teams also finished well below Wednesday's number, with combined scores of 135 and 162 points. The 222-point overtime game in Seattle was the obvious exception. Dallas has enough offense to control the matchup, but if Seattle remains anywhere near its recent scoring level, the Storm may struggle to contribute enough points for the game to reach 171.

Final Picks: Dallas Wings -9.5 and Under 170.5