Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 31, 2026

The Dallas Wings visit the Washington Mystics at CareFirst Arena in Washington, D.C., on Friday, July 31, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET, with television coverage on ION and additional coverage through WNBA League Pass. Dallas is listed as a 3.5-point favorite with a -160 moneyline, while Washington is a +132 underdog. The total is set at 169.5 points. Dallas is -105 against the spread, Washington is -115 at +3.5, and both sides of the total carry -110 odds. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks before wagering on Friday’s games.

Dallas Brings a High-Scoring Attack to Washington

Dallas enters this matchup with an 18-10 overall record and a 10-5 record away from home. The Wings have won three of their last five games, recently winning over Portland 101-97, Los Angeles 90-82 and Chicago 96-91. They recently lost to Atlanta 82-81 and New York 99-98 in overtime, meaning both defeats during this five-game stretch came by a single point.

The Wings average 89.9 points per game while allowing 86.0 points. They shoot 47% from the field and average 34.0 rebounds, 22.4 assists, 3.5 blocks and 6.9 steals per game. Dallas holds the supplied statistical advantage over Washington in scoring, field-goal percentage, assists and steals. The Mystics have the better averages in rebounds, blocks and points allowed.

Dallas’ most significant strength is its offensive production. The Wings average 8.7 more points per game than Washington and have scored at least 90 points in four of their last five contests. Their 47% field-goal percentage is three percentage points better than Washington’s mark, while their average of 22.4 assists is 3.1 higher. Dallas has also maintained a positive scoring margin, averaging 3.9 more points than it allows.

Washington’s Winning Streak Creates a Serious Challenge

Washington comes into Friday’s game with a 15-12 overall record and a 7-6 record at home. The Mystics have won three consecutive games, recently winning over Connecticut 92-84, Las Vegas 100-99 and Golden State 90-82. Those victories followed recent losses to Golden State 74-69 and Portland 75-56, giving Washington a 3-2 record across its last five contests.

The Mystics average 81.2 points per game and surrender 83.1 points. They shoot 44% from the field while averaging 37.1 rebounds, 19.3 assists, 3.7 blocks and 5.4 steals. Washington averages 3.1 more rebounds than Dallas and holds a narrow advantage of 0.2 blocks per game. The Mystics also allow 2.9 fewer points per contest than the Wings.

Washington’s clearest strength in this matchup is its rebounding, supported by an improving run of results. The Mystics have won three straight despite entering as the home underdog, and they scored at least 90 points in each of those victories. Washington’s 37.1 rebounds per game could help it compete with a Dallas offense that has been productive throughout the supplied figures. The Mystics’ lower points-allowed average also gives them a route toward keeping the game close.

Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction

Dallas owns the better overall and away records, carrying an 18-10 mark into Washington along with 10 victories in 15 road games. The Mystics are 15-12 overall and 7-6 at CareFirst Arena. ESPN Analytics gives the Wings a 56.8% chance of winning, compared with 43.2% for Washington, creating a much closer matchup than the records and offensive averages might initially suggest.

Dallas has the stronger scoring attack, but Washington enters with the better immediate form. The Wings are 3-2 across their last five, with their two losses coming by one point each. The Mystics are also 3-2 during that period, but all three victories have come consecutively. That contrast makes the 3.5-point spread particularly important because Washington has recently shown that it can close out competitive games.

Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics Pick

• Pick: Washington Mystics +3.5

Washington is my selection against the spread. Dallas holds meaningful advantages in overall record, road record, scoring, shooting and assists, but the Wings have also lost two of their last three games by one point. Washington has won three straight and has home-court performance of 7-6. The Mystics allow 83.1 points per game, compared with the 86.0 surrendered by Dallas, and they average 3.1 more rebounds. I expect Dallas to have a strong opportunity to win, but Washington’s recent results and defensive and rebounding advantages support taking the 3.5 points in what projects as a close contest.

Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics Total Pick

• Pick: Over 169.5

I am taking the over at 169.5. Dallas averages 89.9 points and allows 86.0, while Washington scores 81.2 and gives up 83.1. Four of the Wings’ last five games finished with at least 181 combined points, including totals of 198 and 197. Washington’s three-game winning streak has produced combined totals of 176, 199 and 172 points, all of which exceeded Friday’s listed total. Based on the supplied scoring averages and recent final scores, there is enough offensive production on both sides to support the over.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Wings 87 – Washington Mystics 85