Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream WNBA Finals Game 4 Picks and Predictions for Saturday, October 24, 2026
Golden State took the first game of the WNBA Finals, but Atlanta has won everything since. The Dream now lead the best-of-seven series 2-1, with Game 4 scheduled for Saturday at State Farm Arena. The game starts at 1:00 pm ET on NBC. Atlanta beat the Valkyries 97-71 on Wednesday after winning Game 2 in San Francisco, 79-65. Golden State's 68-64 victory in the opener feels a long way off after those two defeats. Another win would put Atlanta one game away from the title. Cash in a winner with our free WNBA picks.
Golden State Still Looking for Answers on Offense
The Valkyries have gone from winning a tight defensive battle in Game 1 to losing two games where the team could not get anything going. The Valkyries scored 65 points Monday, then followed that with 71 on Wednesday, on the road. Shooting was not up to par in Game 3, but the turnovers were just as damaging, if not more so. Golden State gave the ball away 17 times, and the Dream scored 22 points off those mistakes. There were stretches when the Valkyries simply couldn't get a decent shot before Atlanta had the ball again.
Gabby Williams was Golden State's leading scorer Wednesday with 15 points. Cecilia Zandalasini and Janelle Salaun finished with 13 each, while Tiffany Hayes scored 14 off the bench. Williams has averaged 21.2 points and 3.9 assists in the playoffs. Kiah Stokes, meanwhile, leads the Valkyries with 9.6 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game. Golden State has gotten useful performances from different players, but not enough at the same time. The Valkyries need better possessions from the whole group if they want to bring this series back to San Francisco tied.
Injuries: Iliana Rupert is unavailable for non-injury reasons.
Atlanta Has Found Its Offense at Home
The Dream looked very different Wednesday from the team that lost the opener. After holding Golden State to 65 points in Game 2, Atlanta brought its own scoring into the picture in Game 3. The Dream shot 49.3% and made nine three-pointers on the way to a 97-71 win. The ball moved, the spacing improved and the crowd had plenty to cheer about. Atlanta now has a chance to move within one victory of the championship. Keeping that sharpness without forcing shots will be important against Golden State's defense.
Angel Reese delivered another huge performance with 21 points and 12 rebounds in Game 3. Across the playoffs, she leads Atlanta in scoring at 19.4 points, rebounding at 10.3 and blocks at 1.8 per game. Jordin Canada leads the team with 8.6 assists, including eight Wednesday. Rhyne Howard scored 16 in Game 3 and had five steals for the second straight Finals game. Naz Hillmon added 15 points. With several players contributing, Atlanta can attack without expecting Reese to carry every possession.
Injuries: Matilde Villa is out by coach's decision. Brionna Jones is out for the season with a leg injury.
Key To The Game
Golden State committed 35 turnovers across Games 2 and 3. Atlanta's pressure has turned mistakes into scoring chances. If the Valkyries protect the ball and get Stokes involved around the basket, they can keep Game 4 close.
Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Game Pick
- Atlanta Dream -4.5
Atlanta has won two straight Finals games, and the 26-point margin Wednesday showed how much the matchup has changed. Reese controls the glass, Canada keeps the offense organized and Howard disrupts passing lanes. Golden State has struggled to score and continues giving away possessions. Playing at home gives the Dream another advantage. Atlanta will maintain its defensive pressure, win Game 4 and cover the 4.5-point spread on Saturday afternoon in Atlanta.
Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Over/Under Pick
- Under 153.5
Wednesday's 168 combined points came after totals of 132 and 144 in the first two Finals games. Atlanta shot unusually well in Game 3, but Golden State still couldn't get comfortable offensively. The Valkyries can make adjustments by working through Stokes and reducing turnovers, which also cuts down Atlanta's easy transition chances. Expect a more controlled game than Wednesday's blowout, with this matchup finishing under the 153.5-point total on Saturday afternoon.