Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 10, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Golden State Valkyries visit the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, on Friday, July 10, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET, with television coverage available on ION and WNBA League Pass. Golden State enters the matchup as a 9.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -470, while Connecticut is listed at +360. The total is set at 154.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Golden State enters Friday night's contest with one of the league's strongest records at 16-7, while Connecticut is looking to improve upon its 5-17 mark. ESPN's Matchup Predictor gives the Valkyries a 68.3% chance to win compared to 31.7% for the Sun. With both teams coming off games played on July 8, each club will try to carry recent momentum into this Eastern Conference matchup.
Golden State Continues to Build Momentum
The Valkyries have put together an impressive 16-7 overall record while posting a 6-4 mark away from home. Even more impressive is their recent form, as they have won each of their last five games. During that stretch, Golden State defeated Toronto, Washington, Atlanta twice, and New York. The team has consistently found ways to finish games, with every victory adding confidence heading into this road contest.
Golden State has averaged 82.1 points per game while allowing only 76.7 points, giving the club a positive scoring margin. The Valkyries are shooting 41% from the field while averaging 33.1 rebounds and 18.1 assists per game. Defensively, they have contributed 4.3 blocks and 7.2 steals per contest, showing activity on both ends of the floor.
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One of Golden State's biggest strengths has been its defense. Allowing just 76.7 points per game is the lowest scoring average between these two teams, and that defensive consistency has played a significant role during the current five-game winning streak. Holding opponents below their own offensive average has allowed the Valkyries to control the tempo in recent victories.
Connecticut Looks to Defend Home Court
The Sun come into Friday's matchup with a 5-17 overall record and a 3-9 record at home. Although the season has been challenging, Connecticut has shown signs of improvement lately by winning three of its last five games. During that span, the Sun earned victories over Minnesota, Washington, and Chicago while falling to Dallas and Minnesota.
Connecticut averages 80.0 points per game while surrendering 86.7 points. The Sun own a 43% field goal percentage, slightly higher than Golden State's shooting percentage, while averaging 33.7 rebounds and 18.8 assists per game. Defensively, Connecticut averages 4.6 blocks and 8.4 steals, giving the team slightly higher totals than the Valkyries in both categories.
The Sun's ability to create turnovers stands out statistically. Averaging 8.4 steals per game provides opportunities to generate extra possessions and transition scoring chances. If Connecticut can capitalize on those defensive plays while maintaining its solid rebounding numbers, it can remain competitive throughout the contest.
Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction
Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -9.5
Golden State enters this matchup with the stronger overall profile. The Valkyries own a 16-7 record, have won five consecutive games, and allow nearly 10 fewer points per game than Connecticut. While the Sun have shown improvement over their last five contests, Golden State's combination of consistent defense and winning momentum makes the road favorite the better choice to cover the spread.
Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick
- Pick: Under 154.5
I'm taking the under in this matchup. Golden State has allowed only 76.7 points per game this season, and its recent winning streak has been fueled by strong defensive performances. While Connecticut has shown the ability to score, I believe the Valkyries' defense helps keep this game below the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries 82 – Connecticut Sun 69
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Thursday.
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