Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 26, 2026

The Golden State Valkyries visit the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday, August 26, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with coverage available on WNBA League Pass and KPIX+. Golden State enters the matchup at 26-11 overall and 11-6 on the road, while Connecticut comes in at 9-27 overall and 6-12 at home. Some books lists Golden State as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 152.5. The Valkyries are also priced at -800 on the moneyline, while Connecticut is +550.

Golden State has already beaten Connecticut twice this season, winning 97-70 at home on May 25 and 79-64 at Mohegan Sun Arena on July 10. The Valkyries are averaging 82.5 points per game while allowing only 76.3, compared with Connecticut's 79.0 points scored and 87.0 points allowed. Be ready for all the WNBA action with our free WNBA picks.

Golden State Continues to Look Like a Contender

Golden State enters Wednesday having won three of its last five games, including an impressive 80-66 road victory over Minnesota on August 24. The Valkyries also defeated Dallas 78-70 and Chicago 91-71 during that stretch, with their two losses coming by relatively modest margins against Chicago and Minnesota.

The statistical profile explains why Golden State has reached 26 wins. The Valkyries average 82.5 points per game while surrendering just 76.3, producing a strong average scoring differential of more than six points. Golden State also averages 32.5 rebounds, 19.1 assists, 3.8 blocks and 7.8 steals per contest.

The biggest advantage here comes on the defensive end. Connecticut is allowing 87.0 points per game, while Golden State has already held the Sun to 70 and 64 points in their two previous meetings. Golden State has shown that it can control Connecticut without needing an explosive offensive night, and that becomes important when laying a large number on the road.

Connecticut Faces Another Difficult Matchup

Connecticut enters this game at 9-27 and has lost four of its last five contests. The Sun have fallen to Los Angeles 77-68, Las Vegas 101-78, New York 82-75 and Atlanta 104-69 during that stretch, with their lone victory coming in an 85-77 home win against Los Angeles.

The Sun are averaging 79.0 points per game but allowing 87.0, creating an eight-point average deficit. Connecticut shoots 43% from the field and averages 32.7 rebounds, 19.0 assists, 4.7 blocks and 8.3 steals per game. Those numbers are respectable in several areas, but the defensive results remain a major concern.

Connecticut's recent scoring output has also been inconsistent. The Sun have scored 68, 78, 85, 75 and 69 points over their last five games. Against a Golden State defense allowing only 76.3 points per contest, Connecticut will likely need one of its better offensive performances simply to remain competitive throughout four quarters.

Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction

Pick: Golden State Valkyries -13.5

Golden State -13.5 is the side pick. The number is large, but the matchup strongly favors the Valkyries. Golden State has already beaten Connecticut by 27 and 15 points this season, meaning the current spread would have been covered in both previous meetings. The Valkyries also own a massive advantage in overall record, have won 11 road games, and enter off an 80-66 road victory against Minnesota. Connecticut has lost four of five and has recently suffered defeats by 23 and 35 points. With Golden State allowing only 76.3 points per game and Connecticut surrendering 87.0, the underlying scoring differential supports the favorite. Take Golden State -13.5.

Pick: Under 152.5

The under 152.5 is the total pick. Golden State's defense is the biggest reason to lean low, particularly because the Valkyries have already limited Connecticut to 70 and 64 points in their first two meetings. Those games finished with totals of 167 and 143, but the more recent meeting in Connecticut was comfortably below Wednesday's number. Golden State has also held opponents to 66, 73, 77, 70 and 71 points over its last five games, while Connecticut has scored 78 or fewer in four of its last five. If Golden State controls the game as expected, Connecticut may struggle to contribute enough scoring to push this matchup over the number. Take Under 152.5.