Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Picks and Prediction for Friday August 7 2026

The Golden State Valkyries visit the Dallas Wings at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, on Friday, August 7, 2026. The game is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET and will be televised on ION. Golden State enters at 21-9 overall and 8-5 on the road, while Dallas is 19-12 overall and 9-5 at home. The Wings are 1.5-point favorites at -115 on the moneyline, while the Valkyries are -105. The total is set at 163.5 points. For more WNBA predictions, check out our free WNBA picks⁠.

Valkyries Take Their Elite Defense on the Road

Golden State has gone 3-2 over its last five games and enters Friday on a two-game winning streak. The Valkyries recently defeated Toronto twice, winning 96-79 and 92-81. Those victories followed a 91-89 loss at Phoenix and a 90-82 home defeat against Washington. Golden State began this five-game stretch with a 74-69 win over Washington. The Valkyries scored 433 points and allowed 410 across those contests.

Golden State averages 82.9 points, 32.2 rebounds and 18.8 assists per game this season. The Valkyries commit only 11.4 turnovers per contest while allowing a league-low 77.1 points. Their plus-5.8 average scoring margin is better than Dallas’ plus-3.8 mark. Golden State also allows opponents to shoot only 42.7 percent from the field.

Defense and ball security provide the Valkyries with their greatest advantages. Golden State allows 8.4 fewer points per game than Dallas and commits slightly fewer turnovers. That combination has helped the Valkyries win 70 percent of their games despite averaging 6.4 fewer points than the Wings.

The Valkyries have also found additional offense recently, scoring at least 89 points in three consecutive games. Golden State made 12 three-pointers in its latest win over Toronto and has already demonstrated that it can score efficiently against Dallas. The Valkyries defeated the Wings 91-80 in their first meeting of the season.

Wings Try to Recover After Another Difficult Finish

Dallas has gone 2-3 over its last five games and enters Friday at 19-12 overall. The Wings recently allowed Washington to erase a 20-point deficit in a 96-92 loss. Dallas defeated Connecticut 83-63 before that result but lost its previous two games against Washington and Atlanta by scores of 81-75 and 82-81. The Wings began this stretch with a 101-97 victory at Portland.

Dallas averages 89.3 points, 34 rebounds and 22.3 assists per game this season. The Wings commit 11.7 turnovers while allowing 85.5 points per contest. Dallas is shooting 46.6 percent from the field and 34.3 percent from beyond the arc. The Wings hold substantial offensive advantages over Golden State, including 6.4 more points and 3.5 more assists per game.

The concern is Dallas’ ability to maintain its defensive intensity for four quarters. The Wings scored 59 first-half points against Washington on Wednesday but surrendered 52 after halftime. Dallas has lost three of its last four games, with all three defeats decided by six points or fewer.

Dallas’ offense makes the Wings dangerous at home, where they are 9-5. However, this is a difficult matchup against a Golden State defense allowing almost eight fewer points than Dallas averages. The Wings scored only 80 points in the first meeting and lost the rebounding battle despite entering that game with the better season average.

Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Picks and Prediction

Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings ATS Pick

• Pick: Golden State Valkyries +1.5

I am taking Golden State plus 1.5 points. Dallas owns the stronger offense and has performed well at home, but the Valkyries possess the better overall record, superior defense and stronger average scoring margin. Golden State has also won three of its last five while Dallas has lost three of four.

The Valkyries won the first meeting by 11 points, holding Dallas nearly 10 points below its current season average. Golden State’s ability to limit efficient scoring while avoiding turnovers gives it a credible path to another victory. The Wings’ recent late-game execution has also been unreliable, making it difficult to lay points against one of the league’s best teams.

This matchup is close enough that taking the available point is preferable to playing the Golden State moneyline. However, I believe the Valkyries are the more complete team and should win the game outright.

Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Total Pick

• Pick: Over 163.5

I am taking the over at 163.5 points. Golden State has scored at least 89 points in three consecutive games, with each of those matchups producing at least 172 combined points. Dallas averages 89.3 points and recently scored 92 against Washington and 101 against Portland.

Golden State’s defense creates the principal concern, but Dallas has enough offensive efficiency and ball movement to reach the low 80s. The Wings shoot 46.6 percent from the field and average 22.3 assists, while Golden State has scored 188 points across its last two games.

The first meeting finished with 171 combined points, clearing Friday’s number by 7.5. Dallas has allowed at least 81 points in four of its last five games, and Golden State’s improved offense should take advantage. I expect both teams to reach the low-to-mid 80s.

Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries win 86-83.