Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 14, 2025
We have our Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction here as the Golden State Valkyries (23-21) are getting ready to take on the Minnesota Lynx (34-10) on Sunday afternoon in the first round of the WNBA Playoffs at the Target Center. The Valkyries are entering the playoffs on a losing streak, while the Lynx held water after clinching the top seed. Minnesota won all four regular season games against Golden State in the regular season. Clean angles only: WNBA predictions for Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx.
Valkyries Looking for 1-0 Series Lead
The Golden State Valkyries finished the regular season with a 23-21 record and are the eighth seed in the WNBA Playoffs. Throughout the regular season, the Valkyries struggled offensively as the team averaged 77.7 points per game while connecting on 40.7% of their shots. This Golden State team shot the three at a respectable level as they connected on 32.5% from deep. The Valkyries have been able to knock down shots at the charity stripe as they hold a team free-throw percentage of 81.5. The team has been led by young guard Veronica Burton as she has 11.9 points, 4.4 rebounds, 6.0 assists, 0.6 blocks, and 1.1 steals per game.
This Golden State team did an incredible job on the defensive side of the floor thus far, as they allowed 76.3 points per game. They are going to be in a tough spot, but a Game 1 win would be massive.
Injury Report for Golden State
- Forward Maria Conde: Achilles (OUT)
- Guard Tiffany Hayes: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Juste Jocyte: Not Injury Related (OUT)
- Forward Kayla Thornton: Knee (OUT)
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Lynx Looking to Continue Cruising Along
The Minnesota Lynx have been playing at an amazing level this season as they ended the season with a 34-10 record up to this point, which gave them the top seed in the postseason. They are coming off a 72-53 home win against the Golden State Valkyries to end the regular season. Their offense averaged 86.1 points per game while shooting 47.2% from the floor. They shot at an outstanding level from three at 37.8%, but need to do better at the charity stripe at 76.0%. The Lynx leaned on forward Napheesa Collier as she averaged 22.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists, 1.5 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game.
The defense was incredible for Minnesota as they gave up 76.7 points per game. The team has a massive target on their back as the top seed so it will be interesting to see if they can live up to the expectations.
Injury Report for Minnesota
- Guard DiJonai Carrington: Shoulder (Questionable)
- Guard Aubrey Griffin: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Dorka Juhasz: Not Injury Related (OUT)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Pick
Spread Pick for Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Minnesota Lynx -12.5 (4 units)
These teams played to end the regular season 72 hours earlier and the Lynx, who did not need the game, were able to win by 19 points. In the last five games, these teams were playing at different levels as Golden State posted a -4.5 net rating while Minnesota had a 7.7 net rating. The effective field goal percentage shows a main gap over the course of the regular season as the Valkyries were 10th with a 48.2 effective field goal percentage, while the Lynx were best in the league with a 54.2 effective shooting percentage. All in all, go with the Minnesota Lynx to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
- Under 147.5 (4 units)
These teams played at a methodical pace during the regular season as the Valkyries were last in the sport with a 91.55 pace, while the Lynx finished 10th with a 94.06 pace. The defenses were excellent as Golden State led the WNBA with 76.3 points per game allowed, while Minnesota was second with 76.7 points per game given up. Go with under 147.5 total points as the better bet here.
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