Golden State Valkyries vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Golden State Valkyries visit the Toronto Tempo on Wednesday, July 8, 2026, at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto, ON, with tipoff set for 7:00 PM ET. The game will be shown on WNBA League Pass, KPIX+, and TSN. Golden State enters as a -7.5 favorite at -110, while Toronto is +7.5 at -110. The total is set at 168.5, with the over and under both listed at -110. On the moneyline, Golden State is -310 and Toronto is +250. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more game predictions.
Golden State Looks to Keep Its Road Form Sharp
Golden State comes into this matchup with a 15-7 overall record and a 5-4 mark away from home. The Valkyries have been in excellent recent form, winning each of their last five games. They recently won over Washington 62-49, Atlanta 88-83, New York 76-67, Atlanta again 78-75, and Atlanta once more 77-66. That five-game winning streak gives Golden State a strong profile entering this road matchup.
From a team-stat perspective, Golden State is averaging 82.0 points per game while allowing 76.8 points per game. The Valkyries are shooting 41% from the field, averaging 33.2 rebounds, 18.1 assists, 4.3 blocks, and 7.2 steals per game. Those numbers show a team that has not needed to win solely with scoring volume, because the defensive side has been strong enough to keep opponents under control.
The clearest strength for Golden State is the points-against number. Allowing just 76.8 points per game stands out compared with Toronto’s 91.8 points allowed per game. That defensive edge matters in a matchup where Golden State is favored by 7.5 points and also owns a 55.3% matchup predictor edge according to ESPN Analytics.
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Toronto Tries to Answer at Home
Toronto enters this game with a 9-11 overall record and a 5-5 home record. The Tempo have had a mixed stretch over their last five games, going 2-3 during that span. Toronto recently lost to Dallas 89-76, recently lost to Phoenix 89-80, recently won over Los Angeles 125-97, recently lost to Atlanta 94-87, and recently won over Connecticut 101-97. The results show Toronto has been capable of big offensive nights, but the defensive scores allowed have also been high.
Toronto is averaging 90.1 points per game, which is higher than Golden State’s scoring average. The Tempo are allowing 91.8 points per game, shooting 44% from the field, collecting 32.2 rebounds, handing out 20.1 assists, blocking 3.5 shots, and adding 7.9 steals per game. Toronto’s offensive production and assist numbers are strong, but the points-against figure makes this matchup more complicated.
The biggest concern for Toronto is defense. The Tempo are allowing 91.8 points per game, and that is a difficult number to carry into a matchup against a Golden State team that has won five straight. Toronto can score, but covering this spread likely requires a more complete defensive performance than what its season points-against average suggests.
Golden State Valkyries vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction
Golden State Valkyries vs Toronto Tempo Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -7.5
I’m taking Golden State against the spread. The Valkyries have the better overall record at 15-7, have won five straight games, and are allowing only 76.8 points per game. Toronto’s offense is dangerous at 90.1 points per game, but the Tempo are also giving up 91.8 points per game. With Golden State holding the matchup predictor edge at 55.3% and entering in stronger recent form, I like the Valkyries to cover the -7.5.
Golden State Valkyries vs Toronto Tempo Total Pick
- Pick: Under 168.5
I’m taking the under 168.5. Toronto’s scoring average points toward a higher-paced game, but Golden State’s defensive profile is the deciding factor for me. The Valkyries allow only 76.8 points per game and recently held Washington to 49 points. With Golden State also winning lower-scoring games during its recent streak, I trust the Valkyries’ defensive numbers enough to lean under this total.
Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries 84 – Toronto Tempo 76
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