Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 14, 2025
The Indiana Fever (24-20, sixth in WNBA) are set to face the Indiana Fever (30-14, third in WNBA) in what promises to be an exciting Game 1 of the WNBA Playoffs First Round matchup for our Fever vs. Dream prediction. These teams are both entering this series on a winning streak, so this should be interesting. These teams split the four regular-season games between one another. See the floor better with WNBA picks for Atlanta Dream vs Indiana Fever.
Fever Looking to Win Game 1
The Indiana Fever were able to make the playoffs despite dealing with injuries. They finished as the sixth seed in the league with a 24-20 record. Their offensive firepower has been outstanding, as evidenced by their third-ranked scoring average of 84.9 points per game during the regular season. This scoring ability needs to carry into the postseason, as they had the third-ranked field goal percentage of 45.7% and 34.6% from 3-point territory, which was fourth. The rebounding figures had them at ninth in the sport as they are recording 33.4 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Fever allowed an average of 81.5 points per game, ranking them eighth and that makes things intriguing for them to get stops. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers was holding its own, with opponents shooting 44.9% and 32.9% respectively. The team needs to see guard Kelsey Mitchell take another step as she averaged 20.2 points, 1.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 0.2 blocks, and 0.9 steals per game during the regular season.
Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Center Damiris Dantas: Concussion (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
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Dream Ready to Defend Home Court
The Atlanta Dream, positioned third in the league with a 30-14 record, have showcased they can be a force in order to step up as the postseason gets ready to begin. Their most recent road win over the Connecticut Sun, an 88-72 game, showcases that they can dominate on the offensive side of the court. Atlanta’s offense was able to do well in the regular season as they averaged 84.4 points per game and shot 44.3% from the floor. They shoot the three well as they were 33.7% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team has room for improvement, shooting 78.6% as a team. They have been an incredible team in terms of crashing the boards, as they averaged 36.6 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Atlanta does an outstanding job against their opponents, allowing them to score 76.8 points per game, ranking them third in the league. This defensive showing has been stepping up with the fifth-ranked field goal defense at 42.9% and fifth in 3-point defense at 32.1%. The team was led by guard Allisha Gray’s 18.4 points, 5.3 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 1.1 steals, and 0.4 blocks during the regular season.
Injury Report for Atlanta
- Forward Taylor Thierry: Ankle (Questionable)
- Guard Holly Winterburn: Undisclosed (OUT)
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream Pick
Spread Pick for Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream
- Indiana Fever +7.5 (4 units)
Will the Indiana Fever be able to win without Caitlin Clark? Probably not as they were 16-15 in the regular season in her 31 games missed. However, the team has shown the ability to keep things close and should cover the spread. Clark is not going to return for the WNBA Playoffs at any point, but these offenses were very similar to one another during the regular season. These teams have not played against each other since mid-July, so that leaves a chance for Indiana to come out and surprise Atlanta. Go with the Indiana Fever to cover the spread on the road.
Over/Under Pick for Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream
- Over 159.5 (5 units)
Both teams crash the offensive glass as a significant rate as Indiana was fourth with 8.8 offensive rebounds per game while Atlanta is right behind them in fifth with 8.7 offensive rebounds per game during the regular season. These teams also finished second and third in the offensive ratings during the regular season (Atlanta 108.2, Indiana 106.2), so they are going to score at an impressive rate. All in all, go with over 159.5 total points to hit.
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