Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Sunday July 12, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces meet on Sunday, July 12, 2026, at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage on NBC and Peacock. Indiana enters the matchup with a 13-9 overall record and a 5-5 mark on the road, while Las Vegas comes in at 16-6 overall and 6-4 at home. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Aces a 58.1% chance of winning compared to 41.9% for the Fever. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
Indiana Brings Confidence Into the Rematch
Indiana has put together a strong 13-9 record this season and has been competitive away from home with a 5-5 road record. The Fever have gone 3-2 over their last five games. They most recently defeated Phoenix 92-89 after falling to Los Angeles 106-92. Before that setback, Indiana earned an impressive 84-68 road victory over Las Vegas, after a 111-87 win over Los Angeles. Their other recent contest was a narrow 111-109 loss to Phoenix.
The Fever have been one of the league’s highest-scoring teams, averaging 93.3 points per game while allowing 89.7. Indiana shoots 47% from the field and averages 34.6 rebounds, 20.7 assists, 4.0 blocks, and 6.2 steals per contest. Those offensive numbers give the Fever the highest scoring average of the two teams entering this matchup, although they trail Las Vegas in field-goal percentage, assists, blocks, and steals.
Indiana’s biggest strength is its ability to consistently generate offense. Averaging more than 93 points per game while shooting 47% from the field has helped the Fever remain among the league’s better teams despite entering this game with one player listed as out. Indiana has also already defeated Las Vegas during its recent five-game stretch, giving the visitors confidence heading into Sunday’s contest.
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Las Vegas Looks to Defend Its Home Court
Las Vegas enters Sunday’s matchup with an outstanding 16-6 overall record and a 6-4 mark at Michelob ULTRA Arena. The Aces are 3-2 over their last five games. They most recently defeated Portland 88-80 after suffering an 84-68 loss to Indiana. Prior to that game, Las Vegas earned a 98-90 overtime victory over Chicago, lost 93-85 to New York, and defeated Chicago 107-99.
The Aces average 89.9 points per game while allowing 86.1. They shoot an impressive 49% from the field and average 34.6 rebounds, 22.3 assists, 5.2 blocks, and 7.2 steals per game. Las Vegas owns statistical advantages in field-goal percentage, assists, blocks, steals, and points allowed compared to Indiana. Those balanced numbers have helped the Aces build one of the league’s best records through 22 games.
The greatest strength for Las Vegas is its efficiency. Shooting 49% from the field while allowing only 86.1 points per game gives the Aces a positive scoring margin and an edge on both ends of the floor. Their 22.3 assists per game also highlight a team that consistently creates quality offensive opportunities while maintaining solid defensive production.
Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction
Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces Moneyline
Las Vegas is my moneyline selection based on the overall body of work provided. The Aces own the better overall record at 16-6 compared with Indiana’s 13-9 mark, and ESPN Analytics gives Las Vegas the higher matchup predictor at 58.1%. The Aces also hold statistical advantages in field-goal percentage, assists, blocks, steals, and points allowed. Although Indiana defeated Las Vegas 84-68 earlier this month, the overall season profile still gives the slight edge to the home team.
Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 181.5
I would take the over if the total is set at 181.5. Indiana averages 93.3 points per game while Las Vegas averages 89.9, producing a combined scoring average of 183.2 points. Four of Indiana’s last five games featured at least 181 total points, while Las Vegas has scored between 88 and 107 points in four of its last five contests. With both teams averaging close to 90 points per game or better, I like the over at this number.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 93 – Indiana Fever 89
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