Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 21, 2025
The Indiana Fever (24-20) are set to face off against the Las Vegas Aces (30-14) on September 21st at 3:00 PM ET at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in WNBA Semifinals Game 1 action as we look at the Fever vs. Aces prediction. The Fever won Game 3 on Thursday on the road, 87-85, against the Atlanta Dream, while the Aces won Game 3 on Thursday, 74-73 over the Seattle Storm. The Fever won two of the three meetings during the regular season. On the court: WNBA predictions for Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces with recent form.
Fever Looking to Steal Game 1
The Indiana Fever are looking to be a threat in this series and make the WNBA Finals. Their last game was an 87-85 road win over the Atlanta Dream in Game 3 of the first round and it helps when they only turn the ball over six times.
On offense, Indiana manages to score an average of 77.3 points per game in the postseason. Shooting accuracy stands at 39.9% from the field and 28.6% from the 3-point line, with a free-throw percentage of 79.4%. The offense went through guard Kelsey Mitchell as she is averaging 23.3 points, 1.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 0.7 blocks, and 0.7 steals per game during the playoffs.
Defensively, the Fever have been stepping up, giving up 75.0 points per game with opponents shooting 42.4% from the field and 28.1% from beyond the arc.
Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Center Damiris Dantas: Concussion (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
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The Las Vegas Aces were able to step up in Game 3 of the first round of their WNBA Playoffs against the Seattle Storm, a 74-73 home win to make the WNBA Semifinals. Las Vegas shot the ball well as they connected on 45.9% from the field.
Offensively, the Aces are averaging 86.3 points per game. The efficiency is outstanding, with a field goal percentage of 48.9 and a 3-point percentage of 40.0. At the free-throw line, they have been mediocre as they had a 76.1% success rate while doing a brutal job with their rebounds per game, finishing at 31.7. This offensive depth has been led by center A’ja Wilson with her 23.4 points and 10.2 rebounds per game in the playoffs.
Defensively, Las Vegas has struggled thus far as they are conceding 78.7 points per game. Opponents have shot at a good level against them, with a field goal percentage allowed of 43.3% and a 3-point percentage that allowed the opposition to connect on 42.9.
Injury Report for Las Vegas
No injuries to report
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick
Spread Pick for Fever vs. Aces
- Las Vegas Aces -8.5 (5 units)
The Las Vegas Aces have been the better overall team and should be able to dominate here. The Aces have the postseason experience, led by center A’ja Wilson. They also have a coaching advantage with Becky Hammond leading the Aces. Indiana has been a good team that just pulled off an upset in the first round of the postseason, but their inability to shoot well makes things more difficult to expect them to keep it close. All in all, go with the Las Vegas Aces to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Fever vs. Aces
- Under 163.5 (4 units)
These teams are going to get stops as looking at the defensive ratings in the playoffs, the Fever are second with a 93.4 defensive rating, while the Aces are sixth with a 100.0 defensive rating thus far. The injuries for Indiana show a difficult time for the team to score and Las Vegas is one of the top defenses in the entire WNBA. Go with under 163.5 points as these offenses are figuring out what they can do against these stout defenses.
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