Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 23, 2025
The Indiana Fever (24-20) are set to face off against the Las Vegas Aces (30-14) on September 23rd at 9:30 PM ET at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in WNBA Semifinals Game 2 action as we look at the Fever vs. Aces prediction. The Fever were able to record a road win in Game 1 as they recorded an 89-73 win to steal home court advantage. On the court: WNBA predictions for the Indiana Fever vs. the Las Vegas Aces with recent form.
Fever Looking to Go Up 2-0
The Indiana Fever were able to secure a Game 1 win in this series with an 89-73 road win on Sunday to “steal” home court advantage. The Fever were able to have Kelsey Mitchell record a playoff-career high 34 points to secure the win.
On offense, Indiana manages to score an average of 80.3 points per game in the postseason. Shooting accuracy stands at 42.4% from the field and 29.2% from the 3-point line, with a free-throw percentage of 82.4%. The offense has gone guard Kelsey Mitchell as she is averaging 26.0 points, 1.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 0.5 blocks, and 1.0 steals per game during the playoffs.
Defensively, the Fever have been dominating, giving up 74.5 points per game with opponents shooting 42.0% from the field and 28.4% from beyond the arc.
Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Center Damiris Dantas: Concussion (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
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Aces Looking to Split the First Two Games
The Las Vegas Aces are coming off a rough 89-73 home loss in Game 1 of the WNBA Semifinals over the Indiana Fever. It does not help when they allowed Indiana to score 50 points in the paint.
Offensively, the Aces are averaging 86.0 points per game. The efficiency is notable, with a field goal percentage of 46.7 and a 3-point percentage of 37.7. At the free-throw line, they have stepped up as they had a 47.2% success rate while doing a rough job with their rebounds per game, finishing at 32.0. This offensive depth has been led by center A’ja Wilson with her 26.0 points, 9.8 rebounds, 2.8 assists, 1.8 steals, and 2.5 blocks per game in the playoffs.
Defensively, Las Vegas have struggled thus far as they are conceding 81.3 points per game. Opponents have shot at a poor level against them, with a field goal percentage allowed of 44.9% and a 3-point percentage that allowed the opposition to connect on 40.3%.
Injury Report for Las Vegas
No injuries to report
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick
Spread Pick for Fever vs. Aces
- Indiana Fever +9.5 (4 units)
The ability to defend the perimeter during the postseason shows a significant difference as Indiana is second in the sport with a 28.4 opposing 3-point percentage, while Las Vegas is last with a 40.3 3-point percentage against. The net ratings show the Fever actually have an advantage as they are second in the WNBA with a 7.8 net rating while the Aces are fourth with a 3.2 net rating. Go with the Indiana Fever to cover the spread as the better bet.
Over/Under Pick for Fever vs. Aces
- Over 164.5 (5 units)
Both teams are stepping up throughout the postseason and pushing the pace. Indiana is best in the WNBA with a 96.3 pace, while Las Vegas is fifth in the league with a 94.35 pace so far. They also are stepping up at crashing the offensive glass as the Fever are fourth in the sport with a 28.8 offensive rebounding rate while the Aces are fifth with a 25.7 offensive rebounding percentage. All in all, go with over 164.5 total points to score here.
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