Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 30, 2025
Use Code SSWC It’s win or go home time as the Indiana Fever (24-20) are set to face off against the Las Vegas Aces (30-14) on September 30th at 9:30 PM ET inside Michelob ULTRA Arena in Game 5 of the WNBA Semifinals action as we look at the Fever vs. Aces prediction. The Fever won Game 4 at home 90-83 to force this game as the winner advances to the WNBA Finals while the loser is eliminated. On the court: WNBA predictions for the Indiana Fever vs. the Las Vegas Aces with recent form.
Fever Looking for the Upset
The Indiana Fever were able to force a Game 5 in the WNBA Semifinals as they were able to secure a 90-83 home win in Game 4. A major reason for the victory was the fact they won the rebounding battle 34-22.
On offense, Indiana manages to score an average of 78.7 points per game in the postseason. Shooting accuracy stands at 41.5% from the field and 30.0% from the 3-point line, with a free-throw percentage of 77.4%. The offense has gone guard Kelsey Mitchell as she is averaging 23.3 points, 1.4 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 0.3 blocks, and 1.1 steals per game during the playoffs.
Defensively, the Fever have been holding their own, giving up 79.3 points per game with opponents shooting 45.8% from the field and 32.5% from beyond the arc.
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Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Center Damiris Dantas: Concussion (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
Aces Looking to Make Another WNBA Finals
The Las Vegas Aces are looking to recover after losing Game 4 on the road against the Indiana Fever 90-83. The team struggled to maintain possession as the Aces turned the basketball over 17 times.
Offensively, the Aces are averaging 84.1 points per game. The efficiency is notable, with a field goal percentage of 48.7 and a 3-point percentage of 38.5. At the free-throw line, they have stepped up as they had a 76.6% success rate while doing a rough job with their rebounds per game, finishing with just 29.4. This offensive depth has been led by center A’ja Wilson with her 24.7 points, 9.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 2.4 steals, and 2.6 blocks per game in the playoffs.
Defensively, Las Vegas have struggled thus far as they are conceding 79.3 points per game. Opponents have shot at a strong level against them, with a field goal percentage allowed of 43.0 and a 3-point percentage that allowed the opposition to connect on 36.2%.
Injury Report for Las Vegas
No injuries to report
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick
Spread Pick for Fever vs. Aces
- Las Vegas Aces -7.5 (5 units)
The Las Vegas Aces have the advantage in a Game 5 situation in their own building as they have the experience advantage as well as being the overall better team. The Fever have been unable to get stops defensively, but the scoring ability for the team has been the telltale sign of how the game is going to go. With the pressures of a Game 5, expect the game to be slowed down and more methodically played. A’ja Wilson’s presence is going to stand out and she has shown no signs of slowing down this series. All in all, go with the Las Vegas Aces to cover the spread and advance to the WNBA Finals.
Over/Under Pick for Fever vs. Aces
- Under 158.5 (4 units)
Indiana is coming off a 4-for-15 (26.7%) game from beyond the arc, so they are likely to look to play inside the perimeter. Expect to see the referees swallow their whistles a bit more as they do not want to be a major factor in how the game turns out, allowing more physical play and fewer free-throw attempts as well. The under should be the better play as these teams are going to feel the pressure of every single possession in Game 5 with the season on the line.
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