Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction for Friday, July 31, 2026
The Indiana Fever visit the Portland Fire at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon, on Friday, July 31, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage on ION, WNBA League Pass and one additional outlet. Indiana enters as a 7.5-point favorite with a -323 moneyline, while Portland is a +253 underdog. The total is set at 185.5 points, with Indiana priced at -115 against the spread and Portland at -105 with the points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks before wagering on Friday’s matchup.
Indiana Carries Its Offensive Momentum to Portland
Indiana enters the game with an 18-10 overall record and a 7-5 record away from home. The Fever have won four consecutive games, recently winning over Seattle 105-95, Connecticut 123-88, New York 108-88 and Seattle 110-107. Their only defeat across the last five games came against Golden State by an 88-75 score. Indiana’s current winning streak includes three victories by at least 10 points.
The Fever average 95.8 points per game while allowing 89.8 points. They shoot 48% from the field and average 34.0 rebounds, 20.6 assists, 3.9 blocks and 6.4 steals per contest. Indiana holds the supplied statistical advantage over Portland in scoring, points allowed, field-goal percentage, rebounding, assists and blocks. Portland’s only advantage among the listed team categories is in steals.
Indiana’s most important strength is its scoring efficiency. The Fever average 10.5 more points per game than Portland and shoot three percentage points better from the field. They also have a positive scoring margin of six points per game. Indiana has scored at least 105 points in each of its four consecutive victories, including three games with at least 108 points. That production gives the Fever a strong opportunity to create separation against a Portland defense allowing 90.9 points per game.
Portland Returns Home Looking to Reverse Its Recent Results
Portland enters Friday night with an 11-17 overall record and a 6-7 record at home. The Fire have lost four of their last five games, recently losing to Las Vegas 98-83, Dallas 101-97, Minnesota 101-93 and Connecticut 90-87. Portland’s only victory during that stretch came against Washington by a 75-56 score. Three of the Fire’s four recent losses were decided by eight points or fewer.
The Fire average 85.3 points per game while surrendering 90.9 points. They shoot 45% from the field and average 29.5 rebounds, 20.4 assists, 3.8 blocks and 7.5 steals per contest. Portland trails Indiana by only 0.2 assists and 0.1 blocks per game, but the differences are more substantial in scoring and rebounding. The Fire average 4.5 fewer rebounds and allow 1.1 more points per game than the Fever.
Portland’s clearest statistical strength is its ability to produce steals. The Fire average 7.5 steals per game, which is 1.1 more than Indiana. Portland has also remained competitive in several recent defeats, losing by four points to Dallas and by three to Connecticut. However, the Fire have allowed at least 90 points in four of their last five contests. That defensive performance creates a considerable challenge against an Indiana team that has exceeded 100 points in four straight games.
Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction
Indiana enters with the better overall record, holding an 18-10 mark compared with Portland’s 11-17 record. The Fever are 7-5 away from home, while the Fire have gone 6-7 at Moda Center. Indiana has also won four consecutive games, whereas Portland has dropped four of its last five.
The matchup predictor gives Indiana a 78.6% chance of winning and Portland a 21.4% probability. Those percentages align with the Fever’s substantial advantages in scoring, shooting and rebounding. Indiana averages 95.8 points and shoots 48% from the field, while Portland averages 85.3 points and shoots 45%.
Recent scoring also supports Indiana. The Fever have produced 105, 123, 108 and 110 points during their winning streak. Portland has conceded 98, 101, 101 and 90 points in four of its last five games. The Fire’s home setting and advantage in steals could help them generate competitive stretches, but Indiana’s complete statistical profile makes the visitor the stronger selection.
Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire Pick
- Pick: Indiana Fever -7.5
Indiana is my selection against the spread. The Fever own the better overall and road records, have won four straight games and hold a 78.6% matchup predictor advantage. Indiana averages 10.5 more points per game than Portland while shooting three percentage points better from the field. The Fever have also won three of their last four games by at least 10 points. Portland has lost four of five and allowed at least 98 points in three of those defeats, so I expect Indiana’s offense to build enough of a margin to cover 7.5 points.
Indiana Fever vs Portland Fire Total Pick
- Pick: Over 185.5
I am taking the over at 185.5. Indiana’s four consecutive victories produced combined totals of 200, 211, 196 and 217 points, with every game finishing above the listed number. Portland’s last five games produced combined totals of 181, 198, 194, 131 and 177 points. Although only two of those five cleared 185.5, the Fever’s recent scoring surge and Portland’s average of 90.9 points allowed provide the strongest case for the over.
Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 101 – Portland Fire 91