Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 28, 2026

The Indiana Fever visit the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, on Tuesday, July 28, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET, with television coverage on ESPN and MeTV Indianapolis. Indiana is an 8.5-point favorite and is listed at -357 on the moneyline, while Seattle is priced at +277. The total is set at 184.5 points. The Fever enter the matchup at 17-10 overall and 6-5 on the road, while the Storm are 6-23 overall and 4-10 at home. ESPN Analytics gives Indiana a 75.8% chance of winning, compared with 24.1% for Seattle. Before wagering on Tuesday’s matchup, be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.

Indiana Takes Its High-Scoring Attack on the Road

Indiana enters Tuesday’s contest with a 17-10 overall record and a 6-5 mark away from home. The Fever have won four of their last five games, most recently defeating Connecticut 123-88 after earning a 108-88 victory over New York. Indiana also recently won over Seattle 110-107 before losing to Golden State 88-75. The five-game stretch began with a decisive 109-75 road victory over Las Vegas.

The Fever average 95.5 points per game while allowing 89.6 points. Indiana shoots 48% from the field and averages 33.9 rebounds, 20.7 assists, 4.0 blocks, and 6.5 steals per contest. The Fever hold substantial advantages over Seattle in scoring and field-goal percentage while also maintaining slight edges in rebounding and assists. Seattle averages more blocks and steals, but Indiana owns the stronger offensive numbers.

Indiana’s most important strength is its ability to generate points consistently. The Fever are outscoring opponents by an average of 5.9 points per game and have reached at least 108 points in four of their last five contests. They scored 110 points in their recent three-point victory over Seattle, demonstrating that their offense can perform against Tuesday’s opponent. Indiana has also scored 123 and 108 points in its two games since that meeting, giving the Fever considerable offensive momentum entering the rematch.

Seattle Tries to End Its Five-Game Losing Streak

Seattle returns home with a 6-23 overall record and a 4-10 record at Climate Pledge Arena. The Storm have lost each of their last five games, including recent home defeats against Minnesota by scores of 86-76 and 105-102. Seattle previously lost to Indiana 110-107 before road defeats against Chicago and Washington by scores of 95-90 and 84-79. Three of those five losses were decided by five points or fewer.

The Storm average 81.9 points per game while surrendering 87.0 points. Seattle shoots 43% from the field and averages 33.7 rebounds, 19.2 assists, 4.4 blocks, and 7.7 steals per contest. The Storm average 13.6 fewer points than Indiana and shoot five percentage points worse from the field. However, Seattle holds advantages of 0.4 blocks and 1.2 steals per game.

Seattle’s primary concern is the gap between its offensive production and Indiana’s scoring output. The Storm are being outscored by an average of 5.1 points per game, while the Fever possess a positive scoring margin. Seattle has shown that it can remain competitive, especially after scoring 102 and 107 points in two of its last three games. However, the Storm still lost both contests, and their 43% field-goal percentage could make it difficult to keep pace with an Indiana team shooting 48%.

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Pick

• Pick: Indiana Fever -8.5

Indiana is the preferred side at -8.5. The Fever own the better overall record, have won four of their last five games, and hold a 75.8% matchup-predictor advantage. Indiana also averages 13.6 more points per game and shoots five percentage points better from the field. The Fever won the recent meeting 110-107, and their offense has remained productive with consecutive victories by margins of 20 and 35 points. Seattle has kept several recent games close, but its five-game losing streak and 4-10 home record make Indiana the stronger selection.

Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Total Pick

• Pick: Over 184.5

I am taking the over 184.5 because Indiana’s offense has exceeded 100 points in four of its last five games, while Seattle has scored at least 90 in three of its last four. The recent meeting between these teams produced 217 total points, with Indiana winning 110-107. Indiana’s last five games have produced combined totals of 211, 196, 217, 163, and 184 points. Seattle’s last four games have produced 162, 207, 217, and 185 points. With Indiana averaging 95.5 points and allowing 89.6, the supplied numbers support another game capable of reaching the listed total.

Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 101 – Seattle Storm 91