Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 7, 2025
The Indiana Fever (22-20, seventh in WNBA) are set to face the Washington Mystics (16-26, 10th in WNBA) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup for our Fever vs. Mystics prediction. These teams are trending in opposite directions with how they are playing lately. This is the fourth and final regular-season game against one another as the Mystics hold a 2-1 season series lead. Set the tone — WNBA picks for Indiana Fever vs Washington Mystics with clear angles.
Fever Looking to Clinch Playoff Spot
The Indiana Fever, positioned seventh in the league with a 22-20 record, have showcased that they are going to need to improve to be in the WNBA Championship picture. Their most recent home win against the Connecticut Sky, a 97-77 game, showcases that they can control things on the offensive side of the court. Indiana’s offense is clicking this year as they are averaging 84.7 points per game and shooting 45.4% from the floor. They shoot the three well as they are 34.1% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team has room for improvement, shooting 77.0% as a team. They have been struggling a bit crashing the boards, averaging 33.5 per game.
Defensively, Indiana does a lesser job against their opponents, allowing them to score 82.1 points per game, ranking them ninth in the WNBA. This defensive showing has been struggling with the 10th-ranked field goal defense at 44.9% and seventh in 3-point defense at 33.4%. The team has been led by guard Kelsey Mitchell’s 20.5 points, 1.8 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 0.2 blocks, and 0.9 steals per game to help lead the way.
Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
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Mystics Looking Towards Next Season
The Washington Mystics have been a struggling team as they are 10th in the league with a 16-26 record. Their offensive firepower has been struggling, as evidenced by their 11th-ranked scoring average of 77.7 points per game. This scoring ability needs to improve as they have the seventh-ranked field goal percentage of 43.9% and 33.0% from 3-point territory, which is 11th. The rebounding figures have them at 10th in the sport as they are recording 33.2 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Mystics allow an average of 81.4 points per game, ranking them seventh and that makes things a bit more difficult for them going forward. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers is stepping up, with opponents shooting 44.3% and 32.8% respectively. The team needs to show another step up as rookie guard Sonia Citron is averaging 14.9 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 0.4 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game.
Injury Report for Washington
- Guard Georgia Amoore: Knee (OUT)
- Center Bernadett Hatar: Not Injury Related (OUT)
- Guard Jacy Sheldon: Ankle (OUT)
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Pick
Spread Pick for Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics
- Indiana Fever -5.5 (5 units)
These offenses have been scoring at different levels over the course of the last five games, as Indiana is scoring 82.0 points per game while Washington is only averaging 70.8 points per game in that stretch. Over the course of the season, the ability to pass the basketball is showing a major difference as well. The Fever are sixth with a 1.46 assist-to-turnover ratio this year while the Mystics are 11th with a 1.26 ratio. All in all, go with the Indiana Fever to cover the spread on the road.
Over/Under Pick for Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics
- Over 160.5 (4 units)
These defenses over the previous 10 games are struggling to get consistent stops at the perimeter as Indiana is 10th with a 40.0 opposing 3-point percentage, while Washington is seventh with a 35.7 3-point percentage against during that stretch. Both teams are also pushing the pace this year as the Fever are fourth in the sport with a 95.86 pace while the Mystics are eighth with a 94.92 pace so far. Take over 160.5 total points as the better bet to make here.
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