Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction for Saturday August 1 2026
The Las Vegas Aces visit the Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois, on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET, with national television coverage on CBS. Las Vegas enters the matchup at 20-8 overall and 11-3 away from home, while Chicago is 10-18 overall with a 6-7 home record. The Aces are 6.5-point favorites, the total is 181.5, and the moneyline lists Las Vegas around -281 with Chicago at approximately +221. For more WNBA predictions, check out our free WNBA picks.
Las Vegas Brings Its High-Scoring Attack to Chicago
Las Vegas has won three of its last five games, including consecutive victories over Portland and New York. The Aces defeated Portland 98-83 before earning a 104-99 victory over the Liberty on Thursday. One of the defeats during this five-game stretch was a one-point loss to Washington. Las Vegas owns the stronger overall record and has been particularly effective away from home at 11-3.
The Aces are averaging 91.7 points, 33.8 rebounds and 22.5 assists per game. They are allowing 86.7 points while committing only 11.8 turnovers per contest. That combination of scoring and ball security has helped Las Vegas consistently create enough possessions to overcome opponents in high-scoring games.
The key for the Aces is turning their offensive advantage into enough separation to cover the road spread. Las Vegas has already defeated Chicago twice this season, winning 107-99 on June 28 and 98-90 on July 3. Both victories came by eight points, which would be enough to cover Saturday’s 6.5-point number. The Aces cannot afford to relax defensively, but their scoring consistency gives them the clearest route to controlling the matchup.
Chicago Looks to Carry Its Momentum Home
Chicago has won three of its last five games and enters Saturday following a 94-88 home victory over Connecticut. The Sky are 10-18 overall and 6-7 at Wintrust Arena. Although the season record remains below .500, their recent 3-2 stretch shows improvement compared with their overall results.
The Sky are producing 87.8 points, 32.9 rebounds and 21.2 assists per game. Chicago commits 12.5 turnovers per contest and allows 89.7 points. The offensive production is respectable, but the defensive average creates a difficult matchup against a Las Vegas team scoring more than 91 points per game.
Chicago’s most important task will be preventing the Aces from establishing another comfortable offensive rhythm. The Sky scored 99 and 90 points in the first two meetings, yet neither total was enough to produce a victory. Chicago has demonstrated that it can remain competitive offensively, but it must find additional defensive stops to change the result. The 6.5-point cushion offers some protection, although Las Vegas has already cleared that spread in both meetings.
Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Pick and Prediction
ATS Pick: Las Vegas Aces -6.5
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -6.5
I am laying the points with Las Vegas because the Aces have the stronger record, the superior road performance and the more dependable scoring profile. They are 11-3 away from home and have beaten Chicago by eight points in each of the first two meetings. Chicago has improved recently, but its 89.7 points allowed per game is concerning against an Aces offense averaging 91.7. Las Vegas should create enough late separation to cover a spread that remains below the margin from both previous meetings.
Total Pick: Over 181.5
- Pick: Over 181.5
I favor the over because the first two meetings produced 206 and 188 combined points. Both teams are averaging at least 87.8 points, while neither defense is allowing fewer than 86.7. Chicago has shown that it can score against Las Vegas, even though those efforts did not lead to victories. With the Aces playing at an efficient offensive level and the Sky capable of contributing into the upper 80s, another game reaching the 180s appears realistic.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 96, Chicago Sky 88