Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 11, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Las Vegas Aces (29-14, second in WNBA) are set to face the Los Angeles Sparks (21-22, ninth in WNBA) in what promises to be an exciting matchup for our Aces vs. Sparks prediction. These teams are both entering this game on a winning streak, but they are of different lengths. This is the fourth and final regular season game against one another as the Aces hold a 2-1 season series lead. Set the tone — WNBA picks for Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks with clear angles.
Aces Looking for 16th Straight Win
The Las Vegas Aces, positioned second in the league with a 29-14 record, have showcased they are on fire as they are on a 15-game winning streak. Their most recent home win over the Chicago Sky, a 92-61 game, showcases that they can dominate on the offensive side of the court. Las Vegas’s offense is holding their own this year as they are averaging 83.2 points per game and shooting 43.7% from the floor. They shoot the three well as they are 34.6% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team has excelled, shooting 82.4% as a team. They have been a good team in terms of crashing the boards, as they average 33.3 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Las Vegas does a terrible job against their opponents, allowing them to score 88.3 points per game, ranking them last in the WNBA. This defensive showing has been struggling with the 12th-ranked field goal defense at 46.2% and 13th in 3-point defense at 39.0%. The team has been led by rookie guard Paige Bueckers’ 18.9 points, 3.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists, 0.5 blocks, and 1.6 steals per game to help lead the way.
Injury Report for Las Vegas
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- Guard Kierstan Bell: Leg (Questionable)
Sparks Looking Towards the Offseason
The Los Angeles Sparks have been a struggling team as they are ninth in the league with a 21-22 record, but are already eliminated from playoff contention. Their offensive firepower has been outstanding, as evidenced by their second-ranked scoring average of 85.9 points per game. This scoring ability needs to improve as they have the second-ranked field goal percentage of 45.8% and 34.2% from 3-point territory, which is sixth. The rebounding figures have them at ninth in the sport as they are recording 33.3 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Sparks allow an average of 87.9 points per game, ranking them first and that makes things extremely difficult for them to get stops. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers is awful, with opponents shooting 45.3% and 36.2% respectively. The team needs to show another step up as veteran guard Kelsey Plum is averaging 19.6 points, 3.0 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 0.1 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game.
Injury Report for Los Angeles
No injuries to report
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Pick
Spread Pick for Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Los Angeles Aces +11.5 (4 units)
These teams are similar to one another in terms of their net ratings, as Las Vegas is sixth with a 3.2 net rating while Los Angeles is ninth with a -2.6 net rating up to this point. The ability to rebound the basketball shows a bit of a gap as the Aces are 11th with a 48.3 total rebounding percentage, while the Sparks are eighth with a 49.8 total rebounding rate. All in all, go with the Los Angeles Aces to cover the spread getting all these points.
Over/Under Pick for Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Over 168.5 (4 units)
Over the previous five games, these teams are scoring at an incredible level as Las Vegas is averaging 85.8 points per game while Los Angeles is scoring 86.0 points per game in that span. Both teams also push the pace over the course of the season as the Aces are seventh in the WNBA with a 94.79 pace while the Sparks are first with a 96.75 pace. Go with over 168.5 total points to score as the better bet for this game here.
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