Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Saturday August 8 2026

The Las Vegas Aces will visit the Minnesota Lynx on Saturday, August 8, 2026, at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Tipoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET, with the game televised nationally on CBS and also available on Paramount+. Las Vegas enters at 22-9 overall and 13-4 on the road, while Minnesota is 25-7 overall and 12-5 at home. The Lynx are 1-point favorites for this matchup. For more WNBA predictions throughout the season, check out our free WNBA picks.

Aces Take Strong Road Form Into Minnesota

Las Vegas enters Saturday at 22-9 overall with an impressive 13-4 road record. The Aces are 4-1 over their last five games after beating Indiana 86-84 in overtime Thursday. They also defeated Atlanta 109-87, New York 104-99 and Portland 98-83 during this stretch, with their only loss coming by one point against Chicago, 84-83. Las Vegas has scored at least 98 points in three of its last five games.

The Aces are averaging 91.8 points per game while allowing 86.5 points, giving them a positive scoring differential of 5.3 points per game. Las Vegas is shooting an excellent 49% from the field while averaging 34.1 rebounds and 22.6 assists. Defensively, the Aces are producing 5.1 blocks and 7.0 steals per game.

Las Vegas has the offensive efficiency to challenge Minnesota even on the road. The Aces have scored slightly fewer points per game than the Lynx, but their 49% shooting percentage is better than Minnesota's 48% mark. Las Vegas has also demonstrated that playing away from home hasn't been much of an obstacle, winning 13 of 17 road games this season. That makes getting a point with the Aces particularly interesting in what ESPN projects as a competitive matchup.

Lynx Look to Bounce Back at Target Center

Minnesota enters at 25-7 overall and 12-5 at home after having a four-game winning streak snapped Thursday. The Lynx lost 89-82 to Los Angeles after previously beating Indiana 108-100, Toronto 104-72 and 100-93, and Seattle 86-76. Minnesota is 4-1 over its last five games and has reached 100 points three times during that stretch.

The Lynx are averaging 92.4 points per game while allowing only 83.5, producing an excellent positive scoring differential of 8.9 points. Minnesota is shooting 48% from the field and averages 35.3 rebounds and 21.9 assists per game. The Lynx also average 4.7 blocks and 9.0 steals, giving them an advantage over Las Vegas in both rebounding and forcing turnovers.

Defense is the biggest statistical advantage for Minnesota in this matchup. The Lynx allow three fewer points per game than Las Vegas while also averaging two more steals. Minnesota also holds a 35.3-to-34.1 advantage on the boards. The question is whether those advantages are enough to separate the Lynx from an Aces team that has been outstanding on the road and owns the slightly better shooting percentage.

Las Vegas Aces vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction

• ATS Pick: Las Vegas Aces +1

I'm taking Las Vegas +1. Minnesota has the better overall record and stronger defensive numbers, but there isn't enough separation between these teams for me to lay points against an Aces team that is 13-4 on the road.

Las Vegas is averaging 91.8 points while shooting 49% from the field, compared with Minnesota at 92.4 points and 48% shooting. Both teams are also 4-1 over their last five games. Minnesota has the defensive advantage, but Las Vegas has already demonstrated an ability to win consistently away from home. With the Aces getting a point, I'll take the visitor in what I expect to remain close throughout.

• Total Pick: Over 175.5

I'm taking the Over if the total is set around 175.5. These teams combine to average 184.2 points per game, and both offenses have been producing some big scoring performances recently. Las Vegas has scored 98 or more in three of its last five, while Minnesota has reached 100 in three of its last four victories.

Minnesota's 83.5 points allowed per game makes the Under worth considering, but Las Vegas presents a much tougher offensive matchup than the average opponent. The Aces shoot 49% from the field and average 22.6 assists, while Minnesota scores 92.4 points per game itself. I expect both offenses to create enough efficient possessions to push this matchup above the number.