Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 17 2026
Use Code SSWC The Las Vegas Aces and Phoenix Mercury meet on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on USA Net and AZ Family Sports Net. Las Vegas enters the contest with a 10-4 overall record and an outstanding 7-2 mark on the road, while Phoenix comes in at 4-11 overall and 1-5 at home. The Aces are listed as 7.5-point favorites, and the total is set at 172.5 points. The moneyline is -310 for Las Vegas and +250 for Phoenix. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more analysis and predictions.
Las Vegas Aims to Bounce Back Quickly
The Aces have put together a strong 10-4 record this season despite coming off a disappointing result in their most recent outing. Las Vegas has won four of its last five games, recently winning over Minnesota, Portland, Seattle, and Golden State before suffering a 96-66 loss to Dallas on June 15.
Las Vegas has been one of the league's best offensive teams, averaging 90.2 points per game while shooting 48% from the field. The Aces also average 36.9 rebounds and 23.4 assists per contest. On the defensive side, they allow 87.3 points per game while producing 5.9 blocks and 6.1 steals.
The biggest strength for Las Vegas is its offensive efficiency. The Aces hold advantages over Phoenix in scoring, field goal percentage, rebounding, and assists. Even with the recent loss to Dallas, the season-long numbers continue to show one of the most productive offenses in the league.
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Phoenix Looking to Reverse Its Recent Slide
The Mercury enter this matchup with a 4-11 record and have dropped three consecutive games. Phoenix recently lost to Los Angeles, Dallas, and Golden State after picking up victories over Portland and Seattle earlier in the stretch. Their most recent contest was a 111-102 overtime loss against Los Angeles.
Phoenix is averaging 82.2 points per game while shooting 42% from the field. The Mercury also contribute 32.1 rebounds and 19.0 assists per contest. Defensively, they have allowed 86.8 points per game while recording 3.6 blocks and 8.0 steals.
One positive for Phoenix has been its ability to create turnovers and generate steals. The Mercury average 8.0 steals per game, which is higher than Las Vegas. However, the overall gap in offensive production between these teams has been significant throughout the season.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -7.5
Las Vegas owns the better record, the stronger road mark, and advantages in nearly every major offensive category. The Aces also hold a 55.5% edge in the matchup predictor and have won four of their last five games. Based on the season statistics provided, Las Vegas appears to be the stronger side entering this matchup.
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Total Pick
- Pick: Over 172.5
I like the over in this game. Las Vegas averages 90.2 points per contest, while Phoenix averages 82.2. Both teams have also allowed at least 86 points per game this season. With the Aces playing at a high offensive level and Phoenix recently involved in a 213-point overtime game, this total looks reachable.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 92 – Phoenix Mercury 82
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