Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Monday, July 13, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/13/2026, 12:00 AM ET
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The Los Angeles Sparks and Atlanta Dream meet on Monday, July 13, 2026, at Gateway Center in College Park, Georgia. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, with television coverage on USA Net. Atlanta enters the matchup as a -340 moneyline favorite, while Los Angeles is listed at +270. The Dream are favored by 8.5 points, and the total is set at 179.5. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Can the Sparks Keep Their Momentum Rolling?

Los Angeles enters this contest with a 10-11 overall record and has gone 5-4 on the road this season. The Sparks have shown signs of improvement lately by winning two of their last five games, including victories over Chicago and Indiana. Before those wins, they dropped three straight contests, falling to Seattle, Indiana, and Toronto. That recent stretch has produced both encouraging offensive performances and some difficult defensive outings.

The Sparks have been one of the league's highest-scoring teams, averaging 89.0 points per game. They shoot 46 percent from the field while averaging 31.1 rebounds and 21.0 assists per contest. Defensively, however, Los Angeles has allowed 93.2 points per game. The Sparks also average 3.0 blocks and 7.6 steals each time out.

The biggest strength for Los Angeles has clearly been its offensive production. Averaging 89.0 points per game and shooting 46 percent from the field gives the Sparks the ability to stay competitive against many opponents. The challenge has been slowing teams down consistently, as their points allowed average remains significantly higher than their offensive output.

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Atlanta Looks to Defend Home Court

Atlanta comes into Monday's game with a 13-10 overall record and has been strong at home, posting a 7-4 mark. The Dream have won just one of their last five games, defeating Seattle while suffering losses to Portland, Golden State, Washington, and Seattle during that stretch. Even with the recent setbacks, Atlanta has maintained a winning record entering this matchup.

The Dream average 87.7 points per game while allowing just 84.4 points per contest. Atlanta shoots 43 percent from the field and averages 34.7 rebounds along with 19.8 assists. Defensively, the Dream create plenty of extra possessions by averaging 9.5 steals per game while also recording 2.8 blocks.

Atlanta's biggest advantage has been its defense. Allowing only 84.4 points per game while forcing 9.5 steals gives the Dream opportunities to create offense in transition. That defensive consistency has helped them maintain one of the better records in this matchup despite recent losses.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Dream -8.5

Atlanta owns the better overall record, has played well at home, and enters the game with a sizable edge according to the matchup predictor, which gives the Dream a 66.6 percent chance to win. While Los Angeles has won its last two games, the Sparks continue to allow 93.2 points per contest. Atlanta's ability to limit opponents to 84.4 points per game gives the home team an important edge. I'll take the Dream to cover the spread.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Atlanta Dream Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 179.5

I'm taking the over because Los Angeles consistently produces offense, averaging 89.0 points per game, while Atlanta averages 87.7. The Sparks have also allowed more than 93 points per contest this season, and both teams have recently been involved in several games with high point totals. Those numbers make the over the side I prefer.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 95 – Los Angeles Sparks 87

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