Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction, Friday, September 5, 2025
The WNBA regular season is winding down, so jump on our Sparks vs. Dream predictions for Friday night and shoot your shot with confidence. This is the second half of a two-game series in Atlanta (27-14 SU, 25-15-1 ATS) as Los Angeles (19-21 SU, 16-23-1 ATS) desperately looked to make up for an 86-75 loss on Wednesday night as +5 underdogs. The tipoff on the rematch is scheduled for 7:30 EST from Gateway Center Arena and do yourself a favor, read more about tonight’s free WNBA Predictions.
Time is running out for Sparks
The Sparks are the only team remaining on the outside looking in who are still alive, though they sit 1.5 games back of eighth place Indiana with four games left to play. Going 5-6 SU over their last 11 games hasn’t helped their cause. In Wednesday’s loss, they shot just 40.6% from the field and they shot 6-25 from beyond the arc and 13-20 from the free throw line. They grabbed 35 rebounds on the night and only nine on the offensive end. The defense held Atlanta to 43% shooting but allowed them to hit 11 threes. Los Angeles forced 11 turnovers from them but got just six points out of them.
Los Angeles still ranks second in the WNBA in offensive scoring, averaging 85.8 points a night. They are shooting 47.4% from the field, 34.6% from three-point range and 76.7% from the free throw line. The Sparks average 8.8 three pointers, 33.2 rebounds and 20.7 assists per game. Their 1.33 assist-to-turnover ratio ranks ninth overall. On defense, Los Angeles is giving up 87.9 points per game, the second worst mark in the league. Opponents are shooting 45.4% from the field and 36.1% from three-point range against the Sparks. With 7.2 steals and 3.1 blocks a game, they’ve been able to swipe 12.7 turnovers from their foes each game.
Team notes
- Dearica Hamby shot 10-17 from the field on Wednesday and she’s hit 62% of her shots over the last five games.
- Kelsey Plum scored 18 points on Wednesday, the fourth straight game where the guard did not score at least 20.
- Azura Stevens blocked three shots on Wednesday, matching her combined total over the last six games.
- Averaging 14.9 points per game this season, Rickea Jackson averaged 18 over his last three efforts.
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Dream boxing out for position
With Wednesday’s win, the Dream had a three-game winning streak heading into their final three games. They are currently in second place, with a heated race happening between the 2nd, 3rd and 4th place teams. Versus Los Angeles, they shot only 43% from the field but knocked down 11 three pointers while shooting 7-8 from the line. They crushed the glass for 45 rebounds, with 12 coming on the offensive end. Atlanta’s defense held L.A. to 40.6% shooting, and they forced 12 turnovers from them for 17 points. The Dream has eight steals and nine blocks in the win.
Over the course of 41 games, Atlanta’s offense was averaging 83.7 points per game, fifth in the WNBA. They are shooting 43.9% from the field and 33.2% from three-point range, with 9.4 threes and 15 free throws falling in their favor each night. The Dream lead the game with 36.5 rebounds per game and their 21 assists a night have afforded them a 1.67 assist-to-turnover ratio, third best in the league. They have the third best scoring defense in the league, allowing 77 points per game. Opponents are shooting 43.2% from the field and 32.6% against them but Atlanta is forcing 11.6 turnovers by way of 6.7 steals and 4.4 blocks a night.
Team notes
- Allisha Gray missed Wednesday’s game due to knee soreness and her status for Friday is questionable.
- Brionna James scored 16 points and grabbed 13 rebounds against the Sparks for her second straight double-double.
- Jordin Canada had 10 points and 10 assists on Wednesday, her first double-double this season.
- In 27 minutes off the bench on Wednesday, Maya Caldwell scored 14 points, grabbed eight rebounds and dished out four assists.
LA Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream Pick
Spread Pick for LA Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream
- Atlanta -6.5 (5 units)
This is the third and final meeting between these two teams this season. Atlanta is 2-0 SU and ATS thus far. Even with their offense shooting bad, they were able to win handily over Los Angeles after taking control in the second quarter. Even without their top scorer in the lineup, the Dream fared just fine and still managed to score 86 points. They controlled the glass in a big way and outscored the Sparks in the paint. There is no reason to think they can’t do the same thing just two days later. They have players who willingly play their roles and someone who fills each role admirably. The Dream also have better bench options who provided solid contributions. Atlanta is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last ten games versus Los Angeles.
Take the Dream giving the points.
Over/Under Pick for LA Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream
- Under 171.5 (4 units)
In two meetings between the teams, the total has split, 1-1, as they averaged a combined 165.5 points per game. While this matchup does feature two of the top five scoring offenses in the game, the Atlanta defense turns this thing on its head a bit. The Dream have handled the Sparks' offense well this season and on Wednesday, they forced them to take difficult shots. The blueprint is already in their hands so no reason to expect anything less two days later. Los Angeles scored 81 points or less in three of their last four games. Atlanta was held under 80 points in six of their last nine efforts. The under is 3-1 in the last four games between these two teams.
Take the under.
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