Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 27 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/27/2026, 12:00 AM ET
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The Los Angeles Sparks head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, to take on the Indiana Fever on Saturday, June 27. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM, with the game airing on CBS and Paramount+. Indiana enters as a 6.5-point favorite with a -298 moneyline, while Los Angeles is listed at +240. The total for this matchup is set at 175.5 points. Both teams are looking to improve their position after experiencing mixed results over their last five contests. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Sparks Looking to Bounce Back on the Road

Los Angeles enters this matchup with an 8-9 overall record and a solid 5-3 record on the road. The Sparks have gone 2-3 over their last five games, earning wins over New York and Phoenix while falling to Toronto, Minnesota, and Golden State. Their most recent outing resulted in a 125-97 road loss to Toronto, making this another challenging road test against a team with a winning home record.

The Sparks average 88.9 points per game while allowing 93.3 points per contest. They are shooting 46% from the field while averaging 30.9 rebounds and 20.2 assists each game. Defensively, Los Angeles averages 3.1 blocks and 7.5 steals per game, giving the team opportunities to create turnovers despite allowing more than 93 points per outing.

One area working in the Sparks' favor is their offensive production. Averaging nearly 89 points per game and shooting 46% from the field gives Los Angeles the ability to stay competitive. However, allowing 93.3 points per game has made it difficult to consistently turn strong offensive performances into victories.

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Fever Hoping Home Court Makes the Difference

Indiana brings a 10-8 overall record into Saturday night's contest and owns a 7-4 record at home. The Fever have gone 2-3 over their last five games, defeating Phoenix and Toronto while dropping contests to Phoenix and Atlanta twice. Although Indiana narrowly lost 111-109 to Phoenix in its most recent game, the Fever have shown they can score against quality opponents.

Indiana averages 93.0 points per game while allowing 90.2 points. The Fever shoot 47% from the floor, the highest field goal percentage in this matchup, while averaging 33.9 rebounds and 21.1 assists per contest. Defensively, Indiana contributes 3.9 blocks and 6.1 steals per game, giving the team another advantage in protecting the basket.

The biggest statistical edge for Indiana comes from its overall efficiency. The Fever score more points than Los Angeles, allow fewer points defensively, shoot a better percentage from the field, and hold advantages in both rebounds and assists. Those numbers help explain why Indiana enters this matchup as the clear favorite.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever Pick

  • Pick: Indiana Fever -6.5

Indiana owns the better overall record, the stronger home record, and leads this matchup in several major statistical categories. The Fever average more points, allow fewer points, shoot a higher field goal percentage, and hold advantages in both rebounding and assists. While Los Angeles has been competitive away from home this season, I like Indiana to take advantage of playing at Gainbridge Fieldhouse and cover the spread.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 175.5

I'm taking the over because both offenses have produced points consistently this season. Indiana averages 93.0 points per game, while Los Angeles contributes 88.9. Both teams have also allowed at least 90 points per contest, which gives this matchup a strong opportunity to finish above the posted total.

Final Score Prediction

Indiana Fever 94 – Los Angeles Sparks 86

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