Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 25 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/25/2026, 12:15 AM ET
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The Los Angeles Sparks travel to face the Toronto Tempo at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto, Ontario, on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM with coverage available on Prime Video and Spectrum Sports Net. Los Angeles enters the matchup as a 4.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -185, while Toronto is listed at +154. The total for the game is set at 185.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Sparks Looking to Build on Recent Momentum

The Sparks enter this contest with an 8-8 overall record and have been particularly effective away from home, posting a 5-2 road record. Los Angeles has won three of its last five games, including a dramatic 98-97 victory over New York in its most recent outing. During that five-game stretch, the Sparks also picked up wins over Phoenix and Seattle while suffering losses against Minnesota and Golden State.

Offensively, Los Angeles has averaged 88.4 points per game while shooting 46 percent from the field. The Sparks have also contributed 20.3 assists per contest and average 30.9 rebounds per game. Defensively, they allow 91.3 points per game while producing 7.5 steals and 3.2 blocks per contest.

One notable strength for Los Angeles is its shooting efficiency. The Sparks own a higher field goal percentage than Toronto and have consistently generated offense throughout the season. Their ability to score efficiently has helped them remain competitive even in high-scoring contests.

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Tempo Seeking a Bounce-Back Performance at Home

Toronto comes into Thursday's matchup with an 8-9 record and a respectable 4-3 mark at home. The Tempo have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games. Their lone victory during that stretch was a 101-97 road win over Connecticut. Since then, Toronto has dropped games against Atlanta, Indiana, and Washington, including a 94-87 loss in its most recent outing.

The Tempo have been productive offensively, averaging 89.4 points per game. That scoring average narrowly exceeds Los Angeles. Toronto shoots 44 percent from the field and averages 19.6 assists and 30.6 rebounds per contest. Defensively, the Tempo have surrendered 91.8 points per game while recording 8.4 steals and 3.5 blocks.

Toronto's biggest strength has been its ability to create defensive activity. The Tempo average more steals and blocks than Los Angeles, giving them opportunities to generate extra possessions. If they can turn those defensive plays into transition scoring chances, they could keep pace with a Sparks offense that has been effective throughout the season.

Breaking Down Thursday Night's Matchup

This matchup features two teams with very similar statistical profiles. Toronto averages one point more per game than Los Angeles, but the Sparks hold the edge in shooting percentage and assists. Rebounding numbers are nearly identical, which suggests neither side owns a major advantage on the glass heading into the contest.

Recent form appears to favor Los Angeles. The Sparks have won three of their last five games, including victories over New York, Phoenix, and Seattle. Toronto, meanwhile, has dropped four of its last five contests. While the Tempo have shown the ability to score, their recent results have been less consistent.

The betting market and matchup predictor also lean toward Los Angeles. ESPN's matchup predictor gives the Sparks a 56.6 percent chance of winning compared to 43.4 percent for Toronto. Oddsmakers have installed Los Angeles as a 4.5-point favorite and assigned the Sparks a significantly shorter moneyline price. Those indicators reflect the combination of stronger recent results and solid road performance by Los Angeles.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -4.5

Los Angeles enters this game with the better road record, stronger recent form, and a slight advantage in shooting efficiency. The Sparks have won three of their last five games and recently defeated New York in a one-point contest. Toronto has lost four of its last five games, making it difficult to back the home team despite its competitive overall statistics. The Sparks appear to be in the better position to cover the number.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Toronto Tempo Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 185.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams have been productive offensively throughout the season. Toronto averages 89.4 points per game while Los Angeles averages 88.4. Both defenses allow more than 91 points per game, and recent results for both clubs have featured several high-scoring games. Those numbers make the over attractive at the listed total.

Final Score Prediction

Los Angeles Sparks 96 – Toronto Tempo 90

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