Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, September 9, 2025
The Minnesota Lynx (33-9, first in WNBA) are set to face the Indiana Fever (23-20, seventh in WNBA) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup for our Lynx vs. Fever prediction. Both teams have clinched playoff spots and could potentially be a first-round series. This is the third and final regular-season game against one another as the Lynx look for the sweep. Tempo and matchup notes — WNBA picks for Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever in one quick read.
Lynx Looking to Continue Dominating
The Minnesota Lynx, positioned first in the league with a 33-9 record, have showcased that they are one of the top teams in the sport and have won three of their previous four games. Their most recent road win against the Golden State Valkyries, a 78-72 game, showcases that they step up on the defensive side of the court. Minnesota’s offense is excellent this year as they are averaging 86.7 points per game and shooting 47.3% from the floor. They shoot the three dominantly as they are 38.5% from beyond the arc. Their ability from the free-throw line has shown a place this team can improve, shooting 76.6% as a team. They have been doing well in terms of crashing the boards, as they average 34.0 total rebounds per game.
Defensively, Minnesota does an excellent job against their opponents, allowing them to score 77.1 points per game, ranking them third in the WNBA. This defensive showing has been solid with the third-ranked field goal defense at 42.5% and eighth in 3-point defense at 33.4%. The team has been led by guard Courtney Williams’s 13.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 0.3 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game to help lead the way.
Injury Report for Minnesota
- Guard DiJonai Carrington: Shoulder (OUT)
- Forward Napheesa Colleir: Rest (OUT)
- Guard Aubrey Griffin: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Dorka Juhasz: Not Injury Related (OUT)
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Fever Looking to Step Up
The Indiana Fever have been a middling team as they are seventh in the league with a 23-20 record. Their offensive firepower has been outstanding, as evidenced by their third-ranked scoring average of 84.9 points per game. This scoring ability needs to improve as they have the third-ranked field goal percentage of 45.6% and 34.3% from 3-point territory, which is also third. The rebounding figures have them at ninth in the sport as they are recording 33.4 total rebounds per game.
On the defensive end, the Fever allow an average of 81.7 points per game, ranking them tied with the Washington Mystics for eighth, and that makes things difficult for them going forward. Their defense against field goals and 3-pointers needs improvement, with opponents shooting 44.9% and 33.4% respectively. The team needs to show another step up as guard Kelsey Mitchell is averaging 20.3 points, 1.8 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 0.2 blocks, and 0.9 steals per game.
Injury Report for Indiana
- Forward Chloe Bibby: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Caitlin Clark: Groin (OUT)
- Guard Sydney Colson: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Sophie Cunningham: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Aari McDonald: Foot (OUT)
- Guard Kristy Wallace: Not Injury Related (OUT)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever Pick
Spread Pick for Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
- Minnesota Lynx -135 (5 units)
The Minnesota Lynx are clearly the better team and should be able to dominate here. The net ratings show a gap here as Minnesota is best in the WNBA with a 12.4 net rating while Indiana is fourth with a 4.2 net rating. The passing ability shows a clear difference as well, with the Lynx ranking best in basketball with a 1.82 assist-to-turnover ratio while the Fever are sixth with a 1.48 assist-to-turnover ratio right now. Take the Minnesota Lynx to secure the win on the road.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,502.00 |
| 2 |  Pro Sports Picks | +1,421.00 |
| 3 |  Brick Haus Sports | +634.00 |
| 4 |  David Delano | +492.00 |
| 5 |  Michael Briggs | +355.00 |
Over/Under Pick for Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever
- Over 163.5 (4 units)
These teams crash the offensive glass as Minnesota is seventh with a 29.4 offensive rebounding rate, while Indiana is fourth in the sport with a 31.4 offensive rebounding percentage so far. During the last five games, these teams are pushing the pace as the Lynx are seventh with a 92.88 pace while the Fever are fourth with a 93.84 pace in that stretch. All in all, go with over 163.5 total points here.
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