Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 22, 2026
The Minnesota Lynx travel to face the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, on Wednesday, July 22, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on WNBA League Pass, CW Seattle, and two additional regional options. Minnesota enters as a 9.5-point road favorite and is listed at -440 on the moneyline, while Seattle is priced at +340. The total is set at 175.5 points. ESPN Analytics gives the Lynx a 70.8% chance of winning, compared with 29.2% for the Storm. Before making any wagers on this Western Conference matchup, be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
Minnesota Carries Its Winning Streak Back to Seattle
Minnesota enters Wednesday’s matchup with an excellent 21-6 overall record and an 11-2 mark on the road. The Lynx have won each of their last five games, including a recent 105-102 victory over Seattle. Minnesota also recently won over Portland 101-93, Los Angeles 96-87, Phoenix 104-100, and New York 90-85. The Lynx scored at least 90 points in all five victories and surpassed 100 points three times during that stretch.
The Lynx average 91.7 points per game while allowing 83.1 points, giving them an average scoring advantage of 8.6 points. Minnesota shoots 48% from the field and averages 35.4 rebounds and 21.5 assists per contest. The Lynx also produce 5.0 blocks and 8.9 steals per game. Those numbers give Minnesota the advantage over Seattle in every provided statistical category, including scoring, points allowed, field-goal percentage, rebounding, passing, blocks, and steals.
Minnesota’s most important strength is its offensive efficiency. The Lynx average 9.6 more points per game than Seattle while shooting five percentage points better from the field. They also average 2.2 more assists, showing that their scoring advantage is supported by both accurate shooting and effective ball movement. Minnesota’s five-game winning streak further strengthens its case as the favorite, although its narrow three-point victory over Seattle on Monday demonstrates that covering a sizable road spread may require another strong offensive performance.
Seattle Attempts to Reverse a Difficult Recent Run
Seattle comes into this game with a 6-22 overall record and a 4-9 record at Climate Pledge Arena. The Storm have lost five consecutive games, but three of those defeats were decided by five points or fewer. Seattle recently lost to Minnesota 105-102 after falling to Indiana 110-107, Chicago 95-90, Washington 84-79, and Atlanta 89-78. The Storm scored at least 90 points in three consecutive games, yet they were unable to convert any of those performances into a victory.
The Storm are averaging 82.1 points per game while surrendering 87.1 points. Seattle shoots 43% from the field and averages 33.4 rebounds, 19.3 assists, 4.3 blocks, and 7.7 steals per game. The Storm’s average scoring margin is minus five points, although that difference is smaller than Wednesday’s 9.5-point spread. Seattle also averages two fewer rebounds than Minnesota and allows four more points per game than the Lynx.
Seattle’s most apparent weakness is its inability to finish close games. The Storm have remained within five points in four of their last five losses, including consecutive three-point defeats against Minnesota and Indiana. Their offense produced 102 and 107 points in those games, but the defense surrendered at least 105 points each time. Seattle has shown that it can stay competitive and generate enough offense to challenge strong opposition, but the Storm must improve defensively if they are going to end their five-game losing streak.
Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction
Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm +9.5
I am taking Seattle plus the 9.5 points. Minnesota owns the superior overall record, has won five consecutive games, and holds the advantage in every supplied team statistic. However, these teams met on Monday, and Seattle stayed within three points in a 105-102 loss. The Storm have also lost four of their last five games by five points or fewer, which makes this spread significant. Minnesota should have the offensive efficiency and defensive numbers needed to win again, but Seattle’s recent ability to keep games close supports taking the points with the home underdog.
Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm Total Pick
- Pick: Over 175.5
I am backing the over 175.5 in Wednesday’s rematch. The last meeting between these teams produced 207 combined points, with Minnesota winning 105-102. The Lynx have scored at least 90 points in five consecutive games and have exceeded 100 points in three of those outings. Seattle has also scored at least 90 points in each of its last three games, while allowing 95 points or more in all three. Minnesota averages 91.7 points per game, and Seattle allows 87.1, creating another favorable statistical case for a game reaching at least 176 points.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 94 – Seattle Storm 89