New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 18, 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Liberty visit the Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, on Saturday, July 18, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET. CBS and Paramount+ will provide television and streaming coverage. New York is a 1.5-point favorite at -105 and is priced at -118 on the moneyline, while Indiana is +1.5 at -115 and -102 on the moneyline. The total is set at 173.5 runs, with both the over and under priced at -110. New York enters the game at 13-11 overall and 6-6 on the road, while Indiana is 14-10 overall and 8-5 at home. The matchup predictor gives the Liberty a 41.4% chance to win and the Fever a 58.6% probability. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
New York Looks to Turn Strong Numbers Into a Road Win
New York enters Saturday’s contest with a 13-11 overall record and an even 6-6 mark away from home. The Liberty have won two of their last five games, but they arrive in Indianapolis following three consecutive defeats. New York recently lost to Toronto 93-91, lost to Minnesota 90-85, and fell to Dallas 88-77. Before that stretch, the Liberty won 99-86 over Minnesota and earned a 93-85 victory over Las Vegas.
The Liberty are averaging 87.8 points per game while allowing 84.5 points. They are shooting 46% from the field and producing 34.4 rebounds and 20.5 assists per contest. On the defensive side, New York is averaging 4.0 blocks and 6.3 steals. Those numbers give the Liberty a positive scoring difference of 3.3 points per game entering this matchup.
New York’s clearest strength is its overall offensive production. The Liberty average 4.6 more points per game than Indiana allows, and their 46% field-goal percentage is only one percentage point below the Fever’s mark. New York also holds narrow statistical advantages in rebounds, assists, and blocks. The primary concern is the recent three-game losing streak, during which the Liberty surrendered at least 88 points in every contest. Two New York players are listed as out for this matchup.
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Indiana Brings an Explosive Offense Back Home
Indiana owns a 14-10 overall record and an 8-5 mark at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The Fever have won three of their last five games, although they recently lost 88-75 to Golden State at home. Before that defeat, Indiana won 109-75 over Las Vegas and 92-89 over Phoenix. The Fever previously lost 106-92 to Los Angeles after beginning the listed stretch with an 84-68 victory over Las Vegas.
The Fever are scoring 93.2 points per game, which is 5.4 points more than New York’s average. Indiana is allowing 89.0 points per game, leaving it with a positive scoring difference of 4.2 points. The Fever are shooting 47% from the field while averaging 34.3 rebounds, 20.3 assists, 3.8 blocks, and 6.3 steals per game.
Indiana’s greatest strength is its ability to generate points. The Fever have scored at least 84 points in four of their last five games, including performances of 109 and 92 points during their two most recent victories. Their 47% field-goal percentage is also the better of the two teams. Defense has been less consistent based on the supplied figures, as Indiana allows 89.0 points per game. Two Fever players are listed as game-time decisions.
New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction
New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Pick
- Pick: Indiana Fever +1.5
Indiana is my choice to cover the 1.5-point spread at home. The Fever have the better overall record at 14-10, the stronger scoring average at 93.2 points per game, and the higher field-goal percentage at 47%. They are also 8-5 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, while New York is 6-6 on the road and has lost three consecutive games. The matchup predictor gives Indiana a 58.6% chance of winning despite the Fever entering as a slight underdog. New York owns small advantages in several statistical categories, but Indiana’s scoring production, home record, and predictor percentage make the Fever +1.5 the preferred side.
New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Total Pick
- Pick: Under 173.5
I am taking the under 173.5 in this matchup. New York averages 87.8 points and allows 84.5, while Indiana scores 93.2 and concedes 89.0 per game. Those numbers clearly show that both teams are capable of producing offense, but a total of 173.5 still requires a substantial combined score. The Liberty’s last five games produced combined totals of 184, 175, 165, 185, and 178 points. Indiana’s last five finished with 163, 184, 181, 198, and 152 combined points. With both teams producing a mixture of results above and below Saturday’s number, I will lean under in what projects to be a close contest.
Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 86 – New York Liberty 84
This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.
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