New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 11 2026

The New York Liberty travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana, to face the Indiana Fever on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET with coverage on ESPN. New York enters at 20-13 overall and 9-8 on the road, while Indiana is 20-12 overall and 11-6 at home. The season series is tied 1-1, with New York winning the first meeting 83-75 before Indiana answered with a 108-88 victory. The Fever are 4.5-point home favorites with a total of 191.5, while Indiana is -170 on the moneyline and New York is +142. Check out our free WNBA picks for more predictions from Tuesday's WNBA schedule.

Liberty Carry a Four-Game Winning Streak

New York enters Tuesday riding a four-game winning streak after an impressive 111-71 victory over Las Vegas on Sunday. The Liberty also defeated Seattle twice during the streak and earned a 94-92 road victory over Phoenix. Their only loss over the last five games was a 104-99 setback at Las Vegas, giving New York a 4-1 record during that stretch.

The Liberty are averaging 90.7 points per game while allowing 87.0 points. New York shoots 47% from the field and averages 35.0 rebounds and 20.9 assists per game. The Liberty also average 4.2 blocks and 6.1 steals. Those season numbers show a balanced team with a positive scoring differential of 3.7 points per game.

New York's recent offensive form is particularly encouraging. The Liberty have scored at least 92 points in four consecutive games and are coming off their best defensive performance of the five-game stretch. The challenge is carrying that momentum onto the road against an Indiana team that owns an 11-6 home record and already defeated New York by 20 points at Gainbridge Fieldhouse this season.

Fever Own the Stronger Offensive Profile

Indiana enters at 20-12 overall and sits atop the Eastern Conference. The Fever are 3-2 over their last five games after defeating Chicago 90-86 on Saturday. Indiana's two losses during that stretch came against Las Vegas in overtime and Minnesota, while the Fever recorded victories over Portland and Seattle in addition to Chicago.

The Fever are averaging an impressive 95.9 points per game while surrendering 90.4. Indiana shoots 49% from the field and averages 33.6 rebounds, 20.8 assists, 4.0 blocks and 6.7 steals per game. The Fever's 5.5-point average scoring differential is better than New York's, while their 49% shooting gives them the more efficient season-long offense.

Indiana's offensive efficiency and home record provide the clearest advantages in this matchup. The Fever have scored at least 100 points in three of their last five games and already produced 108 against New York in the previous meeting at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. New York enters in excellent form, however, making the 4.5-point spread more difficult to lay than Indiana's moneyline price.

New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction

Pick: New York Liberty +4.5

New York plus the points is more attractive than laying 4.5 with Indiana. The Fever have the stronger season scoring numbers and an 11-6 home record, but the Liberty have won four straight and are averaging 98.0 points over those four victories. New York also won the first meeting between these teams and has a slightly better rebounding average at 35.0 per game. Indiana deserves to be favored at home, but with both teams sitting at 20 wins and New York entering in excellent form, take the New York Liberty +4.5.

Total Pick: Over 191.5

The Over 191.5 gets the call in a matchup featuring two highly productive offenses. Indiana averages 95.9 points per game and New York scores 90.7, while the Fever allow 90.4 and the Liberty surrender 87.0. Recent form provides an even stronger argument: New York has scored 111, 92, 95, 94 and 99 points over its last five games, while Indiana has reached triple digits in three of its last five. Their previous meeting at Gainbridge Fieldhouse finished with 196 combined points in Indiana's 108-88 victory. With both offenses entering capable of pushing into the 90s or beyond, take the Over 191.5.