New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Thursday, July 30, 2026

The New York Liberty visit the Las Vegas Aces on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. New York is 16-12 and sits third in the Eastern Conference, two games behind the Indiana Fever. The Liberty have won three straight games after a 113-109 victory over the Los Angeles Sparks on Tuesday. Las Vegas is 19-8 and sits second in the Western Conference, three games behind the Minnesota Lynx. The Aces have won four of their last five games after defeating the Portland Fire 98-83 in their most recent contest. Cash in a winner with our free WNBA picks.

New York Liberty Riding a Three-Game Winning Streak

The Liberty continue to rank among the WNBA's top offensive teams, averaging 88.5 points per game while shooting 45.5% from the field and 34.7% from three-point range. Breanna Stewart leads New York with 21.1 points, 8.6 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per game, while Jonquel Jones contributes 14.8 points and 9.2 rebounds. Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 14.8 points and 4.1 assists, and Pauline Astier adds 9.7 points with a team-high 3.6 assists. New York has scored at least 95 points in each of its last three victories.

The Liberty have allowed 87.0 points per game while averaging 34.7 rebounds, 20.1 assists, 6.0 steals, and 4.2 blocks. New York has remained near the top of the Eastern Conference by combining balanced scoring with solid interior defense. The Liberty will try to carry their current offensive rhythm into a difficult road matchup.

Injuries: Satou Sabally (Out), Marine Johannes (Out), Leonie Fiebich (Out).

Las Vegas Aces Winners of Four of the Last Five Games

Las Vegas has been one of the WNBA's highest-scoring teams, averaging 91.0 points per game while shooting 49.0% from the field and 35.5% from beyond the arc. A'ja Wilson leads the league with 26.2 points and 9.7 rebounds per game while also averaging 2.0 blocks. Jackie Young contributes 17.0 points and 6.6 assists, while Chelsea Gray averages 12.7 points and a team-high 7.3 assists. The Aces have scored at least 98 points in three of their last five games.

Las Vegas has also been strong defensively, allowing 86.2 points per contest while averaging 7.2 steals and 5.1 blocks. The Aces continue to create extra possessions through active defense and have committed only 11.8 turnovers per game. That balanced play has helped Las Vegas remain one of the top teams in the Western Conference.

Injuries: NaLyssa Smith (Out), Cheyenne Parker-Tyus (Out), Kierstan Bell (Out), Janiah Barker (Out for Season).

Key Matchup

Breanna Stewart vs. A'ja Wilson

Two of the league's top forwards headline this matchup. Stewart averages 21.1 points and 8.6 rebounds, while Wilson leads the WNBA with 26.2 points and 9.7 rebounds per game. Their ability to score in the paint and defend multiple positions will have a major impact on which team controls the game.

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Game Pick

• Las Vegas Aces -3.5

Las Vegas enters this matchup with the stronger overall profile. The Aces average 91.0 points per game while shooting 49.0% from the field, and A'ja Wilson continues to dominate on both ends of the floor. New York has played well during its three-game winning streak, but the Liberty will also be without Satou Sabally, Marine Johannes, and Leonie Fiebich. Las Vegas has already defeated New York once this season and owns the deeper lineup entering Thursday night's matchup. Playing at home should help the Aces cover the short spread.

New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Over/Under Pick

• Over 177.5

Both offenses have been producing at a high level entering this matchup. Las Vegas averages 91.0 points per game, while New York averages 88.5 and has scored 113, 95, and 99 points during its current three-game winning streak. The first meeting between these teams finished with 163 points, but both clubs are playing much better offensively entering this rematch. With elite scorers such as A'ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart leading the way, this matchup will cash over the posted total.