New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Tuesday June 23 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet on Tuesday, June 23, 2026, at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on USA Net, WWOR-TV, and Liberty Live. Las Vegas enters the matchup as a slight favorite at -1.5, while New York is listed at +1.5. The moneyline sits at New York +110 and Las Vegas -130, with the total set at 172.5 points. This projects as one of the most competitive games on the WNBA schedule between two teams with winning records and strong offensive numbers. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
New York Looks to Bounce Back on the Road
The Liberty enter this contest with an 11-6 overall record and a strong 5-2 mark away from home. New York has gone 3-2 over its last five games, although the team enters this matchup on a two-game losing streak. The Liberty recently lost to Los Angeles by a narrow 98-97 score and also dropped an 86-83 decision against Washington. Before those setbacks, New York picked up wins over Chicago, Washington, and Atlanta, showing its ability to produce offensively against a variety of opponents.
From a statistical standpoint, New York has been one of the league's better offensive teams. The Liberty average 89.1 points per game while allowing 83.5 points per contest. They shoot 46 percent from the field, collect 35.6 rebounds per game, and average 21.1 assists. Defensively, the team contributes 4.1 blocks and 6.1 steals per game.
One of New York's biggest strengths entering this matchup is its defensive scoring prevention. The Liberty allow just 83.5 points per game, which is lower than the number allowed by Las Vegas. Combined with a positive scoring margin and solid rebounding numbers, New York has consistently kept itself competitive, including in recent close losses.
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Aces Seeking to Continue Strong Recent Form
Las Vegas enters Tuesday's game with a 12-4 overall record and a 4-2 mark at home. The Aces have won four of their last five games and appear to be carrying momentum into this showdown. Most recently, Las Vegas defeated Golden State 92-73 and that follows a performance of a 86-76 road victory over Phoenix. The only loss during the last five contests came against Dallas. The Aces also recorded victories over Minnesota and Portland during that stretch.
The numbers illustrate why Las Vegas has been one of the top teams in the league. The Aces lead this matchup in scoring at 90.1 points per game and also own a 49 percent field-goal percentage. Las Vegas averages 35.7 rebounds and 23.3 assists per contest while contributing 5.8 blocks and 6.8 steals. Defensively, the team allows 85.7 points per game.
The biggest strength for Las Vegas is offensive efficiency. The Aces not only score slightly more points than New York, but they also shoot a higher percentage from the field and generate more assists. Those statistics suggest a team capable of creating quality scoring opportunities throughout a game and converting them at a high rate.
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -1.5
Las Vegas enters this game with the better overall record, the edge in ESPN's matchup predictor at 57.7 percent, and a 4-1 record over its last five games. The Aces also hold advantages in points per game, field-goal percentage, assists, blocks, and steals. While New York has been excellent on the road and has remained competitive in recent losses, Las Vegas appears to have a slight statistical edge across several key categories. With the game being played at Michelob ULTRA Arena, the Aces are the side I would back to cover the small spread.
New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Total Pick
- Pick: Over 172.5
I like the over in this matchup. Both teams average at least 89 points per game, with Las Vegas scoring 90.1 and New York scoring 89.1. Even though both clubs have respectable defensive numbers, the offensive production on each side stands out. Recent results also show both teams participating in games that frequently reached the mid-to-high 170s or higher. With two of the league's stronger offenses facing off, I would play the over 172.5 points.
Final Score Prediction
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 89 – New York Liberty 85
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