New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Thursday June 25 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Liberty travel to face the Seattle Storm at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM with coverage available on WNBA League Pass and WWOR-TV. New York enters the matchup as a 12.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -650, while Seattle is listed at +470. The total is set at 167.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Liberty Bringing Strong Road Form into Seattle
New York enters this contest with a 12-6 overall record and an excellent 6-2 record away from home. The Liberty have won three of their last five games, most recently defeating Las Vegas 87-76 on the road. During this stretch, New York also recorded victories over Chicago and Washington while suffering narrow losses against Los Angeles and Washington.
The Liberty have been one of the most balanced teams statistically this season. They average 88.9 points per game while allowing just 83.1 points per contest. New York shoots 46 percent from the field and averages 35.5 rebounds and 21.0 assists per game. The Liberty also contribute 5.9 steals and 4.2 blocks per contest.
One of New York's biggest strengths is its overall efficiency. The Liberty score more points, allow fewer points, shoot a higher percentage from the field, and grab more rebounds than Seattle. Those advantages have helped New York maintain one of the stronger records in the league through the first portion of the season.
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Storm Searching for Answers on Their Home Floor
Seattle enters Thursday's matchup with a 3-15 overall record and a 2-7 home record. The Storm have struggled recently, losing each of their last five games. Those defeats came against Dallas, Phoenix, Portland, Golden State, and Los Angeles. Seattle pushed Dallas into overtime in its most recent game before falling 112-110, showing the ability to compete despite the loss.
The Storm average 78.8 points per game while allowing 85.9 points. Seattle shoots 41 percent from the field and averages 31.6 rebounds and 18.6 assists per contest. Defensively, the Storm produce 7.2 steals and 4.6 blocks per game, both respectable numbers despite the team's recent results.
Seattle's strongest statistical area comes on the defensive side in terms of creating disruption. The Storm average more steals and blocks than New York. If Seattle is going to stay competitive in this matchup, generating extra possessions through defensive activity could be one of its best opportunities.
Examining the Numbers Before Tipoff
The statistical comparison heavily favors New York. The Liberty average more than 10 additional points per game while also allowing fewer points than Seattle. New York owns advantages in field goal percentage, rebounds, and assists, which helps explain the significant difference in overall records between the two teams.
Recent results also point toward the Liberty. New York has won three of its last five games and is coming off a road victory over Las Vegas. Seattle, meanwhile, enters the game on a five-game losing streak. Although the Storm played Dallas closely in their latest contest, the overall trend has been difficult for Seattle.
Oddsmakers and the matchup predictor are aligned on this game. ESPN's matchup predictor gives New York a 76.3 percent chance of winning compared to 23.7 percent for Seattle. The Liberty are double-digit favorites and carry a substantial moneyline advantage. Those numbers reflect New York's stronger season-long performance and Seattle's recent struggles.
New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction
New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty -12.5
New York has clear advantages across most major statistical categories, including scoring, defense, shooting percentage, rebounding, and overall record. The Liberty have also performed well on the road this season. Combined with Seattle's five-game losing streak, New York appears well-positioned to cover the spread.
New York Liberty vs Seattle Storm Total Pick
- Pick: Under 167.5
I like the under in this matchup because Seattle averages just 78.8 points per game and New York allows only 83.1 points per contest. While the Liberty have been productive offensively, the Storm's season-long scoring average suggests points may be harder to come by against a team that has defended well throughout the year.
Final Score Prediction
New York Liberty 89 – Seattle Storm 74
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