New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Saturday July 12, 2026
Use Code SSWC The New York Liberty and Toronto Tempo meet on Sunday, July 12, 2026, at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage available on NBA TV, Fox 5 New York, Liberty Live, and one additional outlet. New York enters the matchup with a 13-9 overall record and a 6-4 mark away from home, while Toronto is 9-13 overall and 5-7 in home games. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives the Liberty a 67.0% chance of winning, compared with 33.0% for the Tempo. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
New York Looks to Reestablish Its Road Form
New York enters this matchup with a winning record overall and has also performed well away from home, posting a 6-4 road mark. The Liberty have gone 2-3 over their last five games. They recently lost to Dallas 88-77, but before that defeat they earned consecutive wins over Minnesota, 99-86, and Las Vegas, 93-85. Those victories followed road losses to Golden State, 76-67, and Seattle, 99-88.
The Liberty average 87.8 points per game while allowing 83.8 points. They shoot 46% from the field and average 34.5 rebounds, 20.7 assists, 4.1 blocks, and 6.0 steals per game. Their average scoring margin is positive, with New York producing four more points per game than it allows. The Liberty also hold statistical advantages over Toronto in field-goal percentage, rebounding, and blocked shots.
New York’s most important strength in this matchup is its overall balance. The Liberty are scoring at a strong rate while allowing fewer points than Toronto, and their 46% shooting gives them a slight efficiency advantage. Their 34.5 rebounds per game also stand out against a Toronto team averaging 31.4. New York will enter the game with several players listed as out, but its season-long team numbers and 6-4 road record still provide a solid foundation.
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Toronto Tries to Reverse Its Recent Slide
Toronto enters Sunday at 9-13 overall with a 5-7 record in home games. The Tempo have lost four consecutive contests and are 1-4 over their last five. They recently lost to Dallas 108-95, Golden State 83-75, Dallas again 89-76, and Phoenix 89-80. Their lone victory during this stretch was a 125-97 result over Los Angeles.
The Tempo average 89.6 points per game, which is higher than New York’s average of 87.8. Toronto shoots 45% from the field and records 31.4 rebounds, 20.2 assists, 3.2 blocks, and 7.5 steals per game. However, the Tempo allow 92.1 points per contest, creating a negative scoring margin despite their strong offensive average. Toronto also has multiple players listed as out for this matchup.
Toronto’s biggest strength is its ability to create points. The Tempo have the higher scoring average in this matchup, and their recent 125-point performance against Los Angeles shows the level their offense can reach. They also average 7.5 steals, giving them a notable advantage over New York’s average of 6.0. The concern is defensive consistency, as Toronto allows more points per game than it scores and has surrendered at least 83 points in each of its last five contests.
New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction
New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Pick
- Pick: New York Liberty Moneyline
New York is the stronger moneyline choice based on the supplied records, matchup predictor, and team statistics. The Liberty enter at 13-9 compared with Toronto’s 9-13 mark, and New York has won six of its first ten road games. ESPN Analytics also gives the Liberty a clear 67.0% probability advantage. Toronto has lost four straight games, while New York has recently defeated both Minnesota and Las Vegas. The Liberty also allow 8.3 fewer points per game than the Tempo, which gives New York the more reliable overall profile.
New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 177.5
I would take the over if the total is set at 177.5. Toronto averages 89.6 points per game but allows 92.1, while New York averages 87.8 and gives up 83.8. The Tempo have allowed 108, 83, 89, 89, and 97 points over their last five games. New York has also scored at least 88 points in three of its last five. With both teams averaging close to 90 points and Toronto’s recent games regularly reaching high combined totals, the over would be my preferred direction at that number.
Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty 94 – Toronto Tempo 88
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