New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Sunday September 20 2026

The New York Liberty visit the Toronto Tempo at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto, Ontario, on Sunday, September 20, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET with coverage available on WNBA League Pass and WWOR-TV. New York enters at 25-16 overall and 11-10 on the road, while Toronto is 11-30 overall and 7-14 at home. The season series is tied 1-1, with New York winning the first meeting 97-82 before Toronto answered with a 93-91 victory at home. DraftKings lists New York as a 13.5-point favorite at -110, Toronto +13.5 at -110, and the total at 177.5 with -110 on either side. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions throughout the season.

New York Building Momentum Down the Stretch

New York comes into Sunday at 25-16 and has won two consecutive games, including an impressive 93-81 road victory over Minnesota in its most recent appearance. The Liberty are 3-2 across their last five games, also recording victories of 85-66 and 109-102. Their two losses during that stretch came by scores of 79-60 and 93-86. New York has scored at least 85 points in four of those five contests and now faces a Toronto defense that has struggled badly during its current losing streak.

The Liberty are averaging 89.9 points per game while allowing 86.7, giving them a positive scoring differential of 3.2 points per contest. New York shoots 46% from the field and averages 35.3 rebounds and 20.7 assists. The Liberty also produce 4.2 blocks and 6.2 steals per game. Compared directly with Toronto, New York owns advantages in scoring, scoring defense, field-goal percentage, rebounding, assists and blocks.

New York's opportunity comes primarily from its offense against one of the weaker defensive profiles in the league. Toronto is allowing 94.0 points per game, and the Liberty have already demonstrated their ability to reach the upper 90s in this matchup with a 97-point performance in the first meeting. New York also enters with considerably better current form, but laying 13.5 points on the road still requires the Liberty to maintain their offensive pressure throughout the game rather than simply securing another victory.

Toronto Searches for an Answer During Five-Game Slide

Toronto enters Sunday at 11-30 overall and has lost five consecutive games. The Tempo's latest defeat was a 103-85 home loss, following setbacks of 101-69, 93-73, 90-78 and 88-78. That means Toronto has allowed at least 88 points in every game during the losing streak and at least 90 in four of the five. The Tempo have also been beaten by double digits in each of those five games.

The season-long numbers show similar defensive problems. Toronto averages a respectable 86.2 points per game but allows 94.0, creating a negative scoring differential of 7.8 points. The Tempo shoot 44% from the field while averaging 31.8 rebounds, 19.7 assists, 3.1 blocks and 6.8 steals. Toronto's offensive production gives it a chance to contribute to a high-scoring game, but its inability to consistently slow opponents has made it difficult to convert that scoring into wins.

Toronto's best argument comes from what happened when these teams last met at Coca-Cola Coliseum. The Tempo earned a 93-91 victory, proving they are capable of competing with New York on this floor. The current version of Toronto, however, enters in much worse form. The Tempo have been outscored 475-383 during their five-game losing streak, an average margin of 18.4 points per game. Against a New York team coming off consecutive wins, Toronto will need a substantial defensive improvement to stay inside this number.

New York Liberty vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction

Pick: New York Liberty -13.5 (-110)

The number is substantial for a road favorite, but New York -13.5 is the side pick. Toronto has lost five straight games by margins of 18, 32, 20, 12 and 10 points, meaning three of those five defeats have exceeded Sunday's 13.5-point spread. New York enters with consecutive victories and owns clear statistical advantages in field-goal percentage, rebounding and overall scoring defense. Toronto's 7-14 home record and 94.0 points allowed per game make it difficult to trust the Tempo to remain competitive for four quarters, especially against a Liberty offense averaging nearly 90 points per contest.

Pick: Over 177.5 (-110)

The Over 177.5 is the total pick despite the relatively high number. Toronto's five most recent games have produced combined totals of 188, 170, 166, 168 and 166 points, so this is certainly not an automatic Over based strictly on recent totals. The matchup changes the equation because New York averages 89.9 points while Toronto averages 86.2, and the Tempo are surrendering 94.0 per game. Their season scoring averages combine for 176.1, while their defensive averages suggest an even higher scoring environment. The first two meetings produced 179 and 184 combined points, with both clearing Sunday's 177.5 total, giving the Over enough support at the current number.

Final Picks: New York Liberty -13.5 (-110) and Over 177.5 (-110)