Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 24 2026
Use Code SSWC The Phoenix Mercury and Indiana Fever meet on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET, with coverage available on USA Net and WTHR Channel 13. Indiana enters as an 8.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -340, while Phoenix is listed at +270. The total for the game is set at 175.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Previous Game Recap & Box Score
These teams just met on June 22, with Indiana earning an 86-77 victory over Phoenix. The Fever controlled enough of the game to secure a nine-point win and improve their record to 10-7 on the season. For Phoenix, the loss dropped the Mercury to 5-13. The result continued a recent trend for Indiana, which has now won three of its last five games, while Phoenix has dropped four of its last five contests.
Can Phoenix Reverse the Recent Trend?
Phoenix enters this matchup with a 5-13 overall record and a 3-7 road record. The Mercury have struggled recently, losing four of their last five games. During that stretch, they lost to Indiana, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, and Dallas, with their lone victory coming in a convincing 93-73 win over Seattle.
The Mercury are averaging 82.2 points per game while allowing 85.9 points per contest. They shoot 43% from the field and average 32.2 rebounds and 19.3 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 3.7 blocks and 7.4 steals per contest.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
One area that stands out for Phoenix is its ability to generate steals. The Mercury average 7.4 steals per game, which is higher than Indiana's mark of 6.1. However, Phoenix has been outscored overall this season, and allowing nearly 86 points per game has made it difficult to consistently compete against stronger opponents.
Fever Looking to Protect Home Court
Indiana comes into this contest with a 10-7 overall record and an impressive 7-3 mark at home. The Fever have won three of their last five games, including the recent victory over Phoenix. They also picked up wins over Toronto and Connecticut during that stretch, while their losses came in consecutive games against Atlanta.
The Fever have been one of the better offensive teams in the league, averaging 92.1 points per game. They shoot 46% from the field and average 34.4 rebounds and 20.5 assists per contest. Indiana also contributes 4.1 blocks and 6.1 steals per game.
The biggest strength for Indiana is clearly its offense. The Fever score nearly 10 more points per game than Phoenix and shoot a higher percentage from the floor. Even though Indiana allows 88.9 points per game, its ability to consistently generate offense has helped it maintain a winning record and a strong home-court advantage.
Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Picks and Prediction
Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Pick
- Pick: Indiana Fever -8.5
Indiana already defeated Phoenix 86-77 just two days ago, and the overall season numbers favor the Fever as well. Indiana owns the better record, the stronger home mark, and averages nearly 10 more points per game than Phoenix. The Fever also shoot a higher percentage from the field and have been much more productive offensively throughout the season. With Indiana playing at home and coming off a recent win in this exact matchup, the Fever look like the stronger side.
Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Total Pick
- Pick: Under 175.5
I am leaning toward the under in this matchup. The previous meeting between these teams finished with 163 total points, comfortably below this number. Phoenix averages 82.2 points per game, while Indiana allows 88.9 points per contest. Although Indiana's offense has been excellent, the recent head-to-head result suggests this matchup may not reach the posted total of 175.5 points.
Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever 91 – Phoenix Mercury 81
Betting on the WNBA?
- Find our list of our favorite WNBA sportsbooks
- Claim your promos with the best WNBA sportsbook bonuses
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
